CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #3 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84f9c2545eed2c41eb0b95627d6bec192ad4f3e5a08f240fbb5789c55c3d12db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 3DMAXof AaB Esport, 3DMAX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,117 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 3DMAX | 79c | 3,045$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.19 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed AaB Esport | 17c | 3,006$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.97 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked AaB Esport | 19c | 2,950$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.5 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked 3DMAX | 80c | 2,206$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.27 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 3DMAX | 80c | 2,107$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.64 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked AaB Esport | 35c | 1,825$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.75 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c6…6daabacked AaB Esport | 2c | 1,600$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed AaB Esport | 15c | 1,367$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.27 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2603…90b3backed AaB Esport | 13c | 1,100$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed AaB Esport | 28c | 900$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b9…0eddbacked 3DMAX | 65c | 731$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.42 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5664backed AaB Esport | 6c | 716.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed 3DMAX | 74c | 675.71$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.71 | 384 | 56.3%216 W · 168 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked AaB Esport | 27c | 612.11$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.7 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked AaB Esport | 10c | 605.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67c4…f0a4backed AaB Esport | 35c | 601.8$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf27e…d69dbacked AaB Esport | 10c | 536$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked 3DMAX | 65c | 313.1$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.85 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed 3DMAX | 65c | 282.98$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.04 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked 3DMAX | 65c | 240.59$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.21 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed AaB Esport | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc73…8b36backed AaB Esport | 33c | 165.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked AaB Esport | 11c | 158$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked AaB Esport | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed 3DMAX | 64c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.63 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked AaB Esport | 14c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked AaB Esport | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…5049backed AaB Esport | 15c | 133.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked 3DMAX | 75c | 130.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed AaB Esport | 12c | 124.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked AaB Esport | 15c | 107.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed AaB Esport | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…7858backed AaB Esport | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed 3DMAX | 64c | 87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed AaB Esport | 19c | 86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…8afebacked AaB Esport | 19c | 74.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd030…bcf3backed 3DMAX | 80c | 74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7f…f922backed AaB Esport | 21c | 69.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed 3DMAX | 78c | 65.87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9754…fb93backed AaB Esport | 32c | 55.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed AaB Esport | 23c | 48.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed 3DMAX | 64c | 48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed AaB Esport | 37c | 44.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdeba…9ff9backed 3DMAX | 64c | 31.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed 3DMAX | 63c | 23.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed 3DMAX | 78c | 21.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #3 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs 3DMAX - Map 1 WinnerAaB Esport won
- Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner3DMAX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.