TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Paris FC vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$230,384

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,384 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Under56c102,628$57,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,158.526952.2%36 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34b9…51f6backed Over45c69,863$31,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,524.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under56c42,698$23,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,748.7821144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over54c16,109$8,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,341.251,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under56c16,101$8,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,976.594459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over44c10,872$4,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,088.0837638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4cf…6649backed Over44c9,634$4,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,395.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Over44c8,952$3,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,012.841163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under56c8,000$4,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,48014346.9%67 W · 76 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over43c7,982$3,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,549.9412839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under22c7,487$1,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,647.061323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.26per pick49cpaid-45.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over44c7,000$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9202751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Over44c5,909$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,309.09683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+68.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over44c5,144$2,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,880.581127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over44c5,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8005060%30 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Over44c3,820$1,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,139.451435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed Over44c3,811$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,134.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+38.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68023260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed Over44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,680850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6806553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Over44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.73742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Over44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.721464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+30.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over44c2,268$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.0687344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under56c2,059$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.2129949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Under56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.976648.5%32 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over44c1,950$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.1221143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Under57c1,046$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.223756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Over44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5602254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5606756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over39c812.37$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.541637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under2c702.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.12287.1%2 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+346.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over44c685$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.615455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over44c683$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.487648.7%37 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under21c560.76$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.55328.3%15 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c506.58$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.1162648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Under5c504.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick7cpaid+345.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28017756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28013655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2854161%25 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over44c499.28$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.62458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under28c475.52$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.591,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over43c445.53$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.759450%47 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8de5…e8bbbacked Under45c445.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick65cpaid-50.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over44c420.45$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.451888.9%16 W · 2 L+7.1wins+0.40per pick49cpaid+94.4%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Over45c417.53$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.64666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2155…f351backed Under59c413.87$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.1920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over44c400$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2245364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over44c389.27$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.999458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over64c376.57$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.4517251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over44c350$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1967163.4%45 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over44c350$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19611556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over44c340.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.9510942.2%46 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over44c320$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.29158.2%53 W · 38 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Under63c300$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16810952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Under55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+44.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601668.8%11 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Over44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1682352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over45c299.86$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.9227244.9%122 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over44c280$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.89355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over44c280$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.810556.2%59 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Over44c270.44$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.441973.7%14 W · 5 L+5.2wins+0.27per pick46cpaid+47.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Under56c257.14$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1449846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1404562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1409954.5%54 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1408858%51 W · 37 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1402548%12 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over44c240$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.48460.7%51 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over44c240$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.420860.6%126 W · 82 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1129354.8%51 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1128355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11211256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1124656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11210653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1128355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1128755.2%48 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1124759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1127655.3%42 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1b6…0bd5backed Over44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1121060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+49.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed Over44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1127057.1%40 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1129355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11210652.8%56 W · 50 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1124557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Over44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+40.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under56c184$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.049747.4%46 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under56c182.74$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.333943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Under56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f04…6a54backed Over48c171.42$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.17650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad9…3cb4backed Under57c164.74$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under57c164.3$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.653554.3%19 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd1…d33cbacked Under56c164$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under56c155.69$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9710248%49 W · 53 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over43c150$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.55236.5%19 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed Over44c150$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846555.4%36 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed Over44c150$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846656.1%37 W · 29 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58fe…dc22backed Under57c142.64$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick53cpaid-76.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over44c128$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6846450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked Over44c125$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+52.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Over44c122$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.32944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.