Tennis · resolved market
Little Rock: Hiroki Moriya vs Timo Legout
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd985351d5ae98fbac6fa94158b29026d9c8bc39755c51a398155220b6b766bfa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timo Legoutof Hiroki Moriya, Timo Legout
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Hiroki Moriya | 36c | 3,576$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.99 | 377 | 38.2%144 W · 233 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed Hiroki Moriya | 53c | 1,498$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.12 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timo Legout | 75c | 1,403$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.07 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Timo Legout | 70c | 1,234$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.72 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Timo Legout | 68c | 1,069$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.05 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Timo Legout | 47c | 1,017$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.87 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Timo Legout | 73c | 853.02$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.87 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Hiroki Moriya | 29c | 689.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Hiroki Moriya | 43c | 674.42$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 152 | 61.2%93 W · 59 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa089…e31cbacked Timo Legout | 72c | 633.22$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec6…e2debacked Hiroki Moriya | 27c | 617.5$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +428.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Timo Legout | 51c | 546.02$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.48 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Timo Legout | 75c | 527.51$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.34 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Timo Legout | 48c | 524.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.96 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Hiroki Moriya | 33c | 474.75$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.21 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Timo Legout | 67c | 440.14$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.47 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Timo Legout | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Timo Legout | 65c | 359.24$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.43 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…04edbacked Hiroki Moriya | 33c | 302.4$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Hiroki Moriya | 22c | 250.36$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Timo Legout | 65c | 240$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 437 | 50.3%220 W · 217 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Hiroki Moriya | 52c | 230.76$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Hiroki Moriya | 9c | 213.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Hiroki Moriya | 53c | 185.19$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.15 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…8be6backed Hiroki Moriya | 54c | 182.72$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.67 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Timo Legout | 47c | 177.43$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.04 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2c…227dbacked Timo Legout | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…9166backed Hiroki Moriya | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Hiroki Moriya | 53c | 146.05$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.41 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Hiroki Moriya | 32c | 131.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Timo Legout | 57c | 121.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Hiroki Moriya | 53c | 119.6$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.39 | 472 | 52.1%246 W · 226 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Timo Legout | 55c | 98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…950dbacked Hiroki Moriya | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…8319backed Hiroki Moriya | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Timo Legout | 70c | 85.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c58…79f7backed Timo Legout | 67c | 69.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 77 | 64.9%50 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Timo Legout | 46c | 69.55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…58c5backed Timo Legout | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Hiroki Moriya | 52c | 67.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Hiroki Moriya | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 587 | 50.4%296 W · 291 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked Hiroki Moriya | 34c | 59.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 312 | 20.5%64 W · 248 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…5e62backed Hiroki Moriya | 28c | 56.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 239 | 32.6%78 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Timo Legout | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831d…0705backed Timo Legout | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 265 | 63.8%169 W · 96 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Timo Legout | 67c | 49.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…9bc4backed Timo Legout | 75c | 47.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 472 | 74.4%351 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…cfb9backed Timo Legout | 73c | 47.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 350 | 60.9%213 W · 137 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc20…2d0dbacked Timo Legout | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Timo Legout | 71c | 43.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Timo Legout | 52c | 43.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd764…ae83backed Timo Legout | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Timo Legout | 64c | 37.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…22e9backed Hiroki Moriya | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Timo Legout | 75c | 36.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb06…adccbacked Timo Legout | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Timo Legout | 65c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Hiroki Moriya | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Timo Legout | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x720e…17b0backed Timo Legout | 73c | 20.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe520…e4e3backed Timo Legout | 77c | 19.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…15c6backed Timo Legout | 75c | 14.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Timo Legout | 75c | 14.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 327 | 32.1%105 W · 222 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.