South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-05-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3cd7f6c24ee652e15c1f1632069a420261cb9ad514757dd3003cf9e69d24a8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 5c | 9,834$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.84 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 10c | 8,500$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.55 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes | 11c | 2,252$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.49 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 10c | 2,168$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.01 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 5c | 2,106$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 78 | 14.1%11 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…3fbcbacked Yes | 11c | 1,125$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…04edbacked Yes | 4c | 1,022$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…0607backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.03 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 12c | 785$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Yes | 13c | 775.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 14.5%18 W · 106 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6b…28b6backed Yes | 13c | 599.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.09 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 14c | 581.9$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.47 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa293…4f26backed Yes | 10c | 443.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 12c | 369.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…3327backed Yes | 13c | 294.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…10d5backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Yes | 12c | 208.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57c9…30e7backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4f…e9f1backed Yes | 10c | 194.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1db…1619backed Yes | 12c | 149.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 12c | 143$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…dc9cbacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ec…186dbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b8…243fbacked Yes | 13c | 92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-05-30?this page
- Will CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw?No won
- Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.