Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wichita: Malaika Rapolu vs Maria Sholokhova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69f0e819e093bd07137135368c2d13c70a79885ef8bf002f904476475de48a36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Malaika Rapoluof Malaika Rapolu, Maria Sholokhova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8bfa…a8debacked Maria Sholokhova | 32c | 616.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…04edbacked Maria Sholokhova | 20c | 596.32$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.56 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…b178backed Maria Sholokhova | 2c | 508.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 334 | 9.6%32 W · 302 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Maria Sholokhova | 25c | 320.61$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Malaika Rapolu | 68c | 316.37$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.77 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Malaika Rapolu | 74c | 309.88$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.77 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Malaika Rapolu | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Maria Sholokhova | 26c | 188.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Malaika Rapolu | 73c | 164.37$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Malaika Rapolu | 67c | 137.8$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b53…1fe3backed Malaika Rapolu | 78c | 128.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Maria Sholokhova | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 232 | 47%109 W · 123 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Malaika Rapolu | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 360 | 53.1%191 W · 169 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Malaika Rapolu | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Malaika Rapolu | 75c | 93.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Maria Sholokhova | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Maria Sholokhova | 38c | 71.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Malaika Rapolu | 61c | 63.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Malaika Rapolu | 64c | 58.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Malaika Rapolu | 75c | 53.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Malaika Rapolu | 75c | 40.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Maria Sholokhova | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Maria Sholokhova | 27c | 39.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 173 | 38.7%67 W · 106 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Malaika Rapolu | 72c | 32.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Maria Sholokhova | 39c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Malaika Rapolu | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Malaika Rapolu | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.