Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Hanfmann (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x594758e630a6beb2c0ba95bbbfffb9e4802e7722ddaacf89839d3e646730af42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zverevof Zverev, Hanfmann
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Zverev | 66c | 6,843$4,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345.46 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Hanfmann | 34c | 5,030$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.3 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Hanfmann | 37c | 1,401$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.38 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6d…f343backed Zverev | 63c | 1,024$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Hanfmann | 30c | 1,010$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Hanfmann | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Zverev | 70c | 636.9$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.75 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Hanfmann | 35c | 599.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.59 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Hanfmann | 35c | 470.6$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.71 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Zverev | 71c | 422.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.23 | 583 | 59.2%345 W · 238 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Zverev | 70c | 327.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Hanfmann | 39c | 256.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Zverev | 67c | 254.48$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.51 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a24…a0fdbacked Hanfmann | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 138 | 38.4%53 W · 85 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Zverev | 61c | 241.79$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.3 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…e0e5backed Zverev | 71c | 240.85$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.85 | 262 | 63%165 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Hanfmann | 31c | 217.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.58 | 389 | 52.2%203 W · 186 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Zverev | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Hanfmann | 33c | 185$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Zverev | 65c | 164.83$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.69 | 154 | 40.9%63 W · 91 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeda…a39ebacked Zverev | 63c | 156.67$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Zverev | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 307 | 49.8%153 W · 154 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…64cebacked Zverev | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Hanfmann | 29c | 146.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…dabfbacked Hanfmann | 32c | 145.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Zverev | 70c | 114.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Zverev | 66c | 109.34$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.61 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Hanfmann | 27c | 106$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Hanfmann | 35c | 101.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3e…061cbacked Hanfmann | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Zverev | 62c | 94.8$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Hanfmann | 34c | 92.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Zverev | 73c | 81.25$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…2391backed Hanfmann | 33c | 78.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Hanfmann | 28c | 64.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Zverev | 80c | 62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…a6b0backed Zverev | 66c | 55.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Hanfmann | 34c | 54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Zverev | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed Hanfmann | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Zverev | 62c | 49.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Zverev | 70c | 42.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 265 | 55.8%148 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…f273backed Hanfmann | 31c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Zverev | 69c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…90a3backed Hanfmann | 34c | 36.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 488 | 52.9%258 W · 230 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Zverev | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Zverev | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 219 | 64.8%142 W · 77 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…776bbacked Hanfmann | 35c | 29.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Zverev | 68c | 27.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Zverev | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Zverev | 61c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b3eabacked Zverev | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Hanfmann (+1.5)this page
- Alexander Zverev vs. Yannick Hanfmann: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Yannick HanfmannAlexander Zverev won
- Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs HanfmannZverev won
- Zverev vs. Hanfmann: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Zverev vs. Hanfmann: Match O/U 22.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.