TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$134,220
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$136,084

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,220 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb91a…3987backed Over47c85,106$40,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,106.1713561.5%83 W · 52 L+15.2wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Under53c71,054$37,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,658.6311849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over46c12,350$5,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,662.042,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Over46c11,311$5,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,086.7986548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under52c8,458$4,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,432.1111,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed Under53c7,313$3,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,875.88650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Under54c7,000$3,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,78044851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under54c4,540$2,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,443.524,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa66d…6daabacked Under54c2,778$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50021147.9%101 W · 110 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under53c2,560$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.972,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Under54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9924946.2%115 W · 134 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Under62c1,904$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.4866050.2%331 W · 329 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over38c1,896$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.7410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over48c1,611$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.5128154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under60c1,237$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.84,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under53c1,083$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.5789053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under53c1,010$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.373748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under52c856.03$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.149,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over41c775.65$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.268,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under53c600.04$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.886,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Under53c554$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.622,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Under53c550$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.525249.2%124 W · 128 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under55c545.41$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.982,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under62c532.26$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33019153.9%103 W · 88 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under53c464.03$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.942,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under53c443.86$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.148,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c424.28$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.9212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Over46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2162,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over46c301.83$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.395,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under53c283.71$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.171,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Under53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15094034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15040348.4%195 W · 208 L-18.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Under54c274.3$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.1219752.3%103 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a24…a0fdbacked Under55c249.99$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.492759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3324950.6%126 W · 123 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf3f…1365backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3315159.6%90 W · 61 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over47c204.9$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.61,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x260b…aa9ebacked Over43c202.27$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.8912555.2%69 W · 56 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Under54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10826759.2%158 W · 109 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007552%39 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over50c180$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over49c175$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2577050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over45c165.31$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.9297050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under14c156$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8499624.6%245 W · 751 L-70.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over46c145$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.81,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Under54c109$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8672648.1%349 W · 377 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Under53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5384651.5%436 W · 410 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea8d…a8efbacked Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546341.3%26 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa10…065abacked Under53c94.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.994151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over46c88.33$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.73,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Under56c84$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0450748.7%247 W · 260 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Under64c77.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017462.6%109 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under31c71.48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.888,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x286c…f34ebacked Under54c69.2$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.16944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over47c63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.391,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Under53c54.72$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2962554.2%339 W · 286 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Over45c53.36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.351,36754.3%742 W · 625 L+16.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under44c52.93$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.372,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcaf7…1d7abacked Over47c51.83$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+68.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdb6…4fe4backed Over48c51.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.813050%15 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over53c51.1$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0212352.8%65 W · 58 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5f5…bb11backed Under53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.555953.1%297 W · 262 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0448…5a75backed Under53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530446.4%141 W · 163 L-25.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over47c46.82$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.813,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Over46c42.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.540148.1%193 W · 208 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6725448.4%123 W · 131 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Under53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.224152.7%127 W · 114 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over47c38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.961,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f6…0981backed Under54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015857.6%91 W · 67 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over50c35.75$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.856,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under52c34.48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.996,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Under45c31.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1427646.7%129 W · 147 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under53c30.93$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.42,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over41c30.85$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.229950.5%151 W · 148 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over51c28.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.282,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf795…3a88backed Over47c27.66$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.66616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-64.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c76…7409backed Under55c26.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.755757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Under47c25.56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9716734.7%58 W · 109 L-17.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-31.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under52c24.05$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.54,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under54c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9678155.6%434 W · 347 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under53c22.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.142,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over76c21.88$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2847743%205 W · 272 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae40…9edabacked Under54c20.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.892250%11 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7701…6ea2backed Under53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.617051.8%88 W · 82 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41c3…4d56backed Under58c18.02$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.443458.8%20 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.