MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ef10e4874f01389f121e2b1fc0e60955d219d91b23102aab7c689c95cd274cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Over | 47c | 85,106$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,106.17 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Under | 53c | 71,054$37,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,658.63 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 46c | 12,350$5,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,662.04 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 46c | 11,311$5,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,086.79 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 52c | 8,458$4,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,432.11 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Under | 53c | 7,313$3,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,875.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Under | 54c | 7,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 54c | 4,540$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,443.52 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Under | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 53c | 2,560$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.97 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Under | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 62c | 1,904$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.48 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 38c | 1,896$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.74 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 48c | 1,611$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.51 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 60c | 1,237$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.8 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 53c | 1,083$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.57 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 53c | 1,010$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.3 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 52c | 856.03$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.14 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 41c | 775.65$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.26 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 600.04$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.88 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 53c | 554$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.62 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Under | 53c | 550$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.5 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 55c | 545.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 62c | 532.26$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 53c | 464.03$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.94 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 53c | 443.86$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.14 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 424.28$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.92 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 301.83$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.39 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 53c | 283.71$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.17 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Under | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Under | 54c | 274.3$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.12 | 197 | 52.3%103 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a24…a0fdbacked Under | 55c | 249.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.49 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 47c | 204.9$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.6 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260b…aa9ebacked Over | 43c | 202.27$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.89 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 49c | 175$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 45c | 165.31$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.92 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 14c | 156$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 46c | 145$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.8 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 54c | 109$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…a8efbacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…065abacked Under | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 46c | 88.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Under | 56c | 84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Under | 64c | 77.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 31c | 71.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x286c…f34ebacked Under | 54c | 69.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 47c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 53c | 54.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 45c | 53.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 44c | 52.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf7…1d7abacked Over | 47c | 51.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb6…4fe4backed Over | 48c | 51.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 53c | 51.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 304 | 46.4%141 W · 163 L | -25.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 47c | 46.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Over | 46c | 42.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 241 | 52.7%127 W · 114 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 47c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 50c | 35.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 52c | 34.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 45c | 31.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 53c | 30.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 41c | 30.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 299 | 50.5%151 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 51c | 28.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…3a88backed Over | 47c | 27.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…7409backed Under | 55c | 26.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Under | 47c | 25.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 167 | 34.7%58 W · 109 L | -17.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 24.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 53c | 22.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 76c | 21.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae40…9edabacked Under | 54c | 20.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…6ea2backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c3…4d56backed Under | 58c | 18.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red SoxAtlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 12.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.