MLB · resolved market
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa72652558492d1561c7b28db27cd01307d5e256ac6698e75ac31000e75a77006
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Boston Red Sox, Atlanta Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox | 22c | 6,696$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.43 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves | 41c | 4,557$1,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,690.39 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 4,000$2,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.33 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 2,741$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.18 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 1,884$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.69 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves | 39c | 1,563$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.27 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Atlanta Braves | 66c | 1,490$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.62 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Atlanta Braves | 67c | 1,129$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.57 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Boston Red Sox | 16c | 1,078$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.48 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Boston Red Sox | 33c | 824.73$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.16 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 679.93$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.94 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 663.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.63 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Atlanta Braves | 67c | 579.73$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.66 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 432.53$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.38 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Boston Red Sox | 3c | 379$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Boston Red Sox | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…5300backed Boston Red Sox | 34c | 294$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Boston Red Sox | 33c | 227$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.91 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Boston Red Sox | 33c | 203$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Atlanta Braves | 69c | 155.57$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Atlanta Braves | 67c | 131.26$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Boston Red Sox | 45c | 125.2$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 110.07$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Atlanta Braves | 68c | 109.12$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Boston Red Sox | 33c | 108.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 264 | 38.3%101 W · 163 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Boston Red Sox | 34c | 104$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260b…aa9ebacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 100.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 99.83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 97.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Boston Red Sox | 37c | 97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 80.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 276 | 52.9%146 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Atlanta Braves | 69c | 78.94$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Boston Red Sox | 34c | 71.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Atlanta Braves | 67c | 65.56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 63.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Atlanta Braves | 66c | 59.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Atlanta Braves | 68c | 58.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 55.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Boston Red Sox | 33c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Boston Red Sox | 45c | 44.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84be…d79dbacked Atlanta Braves | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Atlanta Braves | 67c | 42.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 362 | 50.3%182 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Atlanta Braves | 67c | 40.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Boston Red Sox | 45c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…62babacked Boston Red Sox | 34c | 36.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc57…d8b5backed Atlanta Braves | 69c | 36.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 22.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 22.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Atlanta Braves | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Atlanta Braves | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 653 | 59.6%389 W · 264 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Atlanta Braves | 67c | 17.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Atlanta Braves | 69c | 17.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red SoxAtlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 12.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.