MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57e904e85e48b3944319b23304d91836a65bb379bbf82bc00e58eb1c8ca83b0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Atlanta Braves, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 6,518$3,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,155.77 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 5,184$2,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451.89 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 5,013$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956.85 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 2,257$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.31 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…2f33backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 1,887$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Boston Red Sox | 34c | 1,609$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.89 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 1,320$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.6 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 1,280$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.12 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Boston Red Sox | 48c | 1,269$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.77 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 1,010$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.9 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Boston Red Sox | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 911.52$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.38 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Atlanta Braves | 30c | 857.1$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.13 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 788.42$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.8 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 754.37$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.06 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 704$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.6 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 656.49$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.04 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Atlanta Braves | 39c | 623.38$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.69 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Atlanta Braves | 72c | 506.28$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.85 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 468.05$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.83 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 15c | 459.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.17 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 367.99$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.2 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves | 65c | 366.86$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.66 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Boston Red Sox | 61c | 352.44$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.45 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 342.48$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.57 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 328$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.84 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 297$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Atlanta Braves | 75c | 270$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.33 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Atlanta Braves | 39c | 254.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.44 | 193 | 35.8%69 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 235.63$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 235$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.15 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 189.7$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.22 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 176$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeded…bfe9backed Atlanta Braves | 27c | 165$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a5…b591backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 156.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.73 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27f…cdf5backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 125$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 112.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 109$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 109$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260b…aa9ebacked Atlanta Braves | 26c | 77.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 73.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Atlanta Braves | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb6…d381backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…b257backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 46.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 40.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 100 | 66%66 W · 34 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 25.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 25.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9068…a7b6backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 24.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 22.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5771…6dccbacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red SoxAtlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 12.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.