TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Boston Red Soxof Atlanta Braves, Boston Red Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,275
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,402

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,275 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves30c4,212$1,254 inLost-$1,253.744,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves10c2,401$232 inLost-$231.6512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Boston Red Sox70c1,567$1,097 inWon+$470.0556851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Boston Red Sox71c1,212$861 inWon+$351.552,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Boston Red Sox70c1,000$700 inWon+$3001,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Atlanta Braves30c840$251 inLost-$251.072,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Boston Red Sox70c803.57$562 inWon+$241.0749158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Boston Red Sox79c681.5$539 inWon+$142.318,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Atlanta Braves29c517.24$150 inLost-$15029344.7%131 W · 162 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves45c503.7$228 inLost-$228.149,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Boston Red Sox45c390.13$176 inWon+$214.571,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Atlanta Braves5c273$14 inLost-$13.6557046.8%267 W · 303 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x260b…aa9ebacked Atlanta Braves16c172.88$28 inLost-$27.8412555.2%69 W · 56 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves41c154.98$64 inLost-$63.9911,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox67c137.57$92 inWon+$45.48,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Boston Red Sox56c135$76 inWon+$59.45,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Boston Red Sox71c110.05$78 inWon+$32.391,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Boston Red Sox56c105.95$59 inWon+$46.622,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Boston Red Sox57c102.45$58 inWon+$44.196,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Atlanta Braves45c95.19$43 inLost-$43.1944737.4%167 W · 280 L-24.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x46f0…fe05backed Atlanta Braves67c95$64 inLost-$63.6517545.7%80 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd764…ae83backed Boston Red Sox36c82.47$30 inWon+$52.783450%17 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Atlanta Braves29c75.89$22 inLost-$22.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Boston Red Sox53c60.23$32 inWon+$28.311,36754.3%742 W · 625 L+16.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Boston Red Sox71c56.34$40 inWon+$16.3413672.1%98 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick74cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox65c44.99$29 inWon+$15.9510,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee5…be70backed Atlanta Braves35c42.43$15 inLost-$14.851540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Boston Red Sox54c36.02$20 inWon+$16.515,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Boston Red Sox68c34.7$24 inWon+$112,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Boston Red Sox62c32$20 inWon+$12.161,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Boston Red Sox52c30.97$16 inWon+$14.731,03851.7%537 W · 501 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Boston Red Sox71c25$18 inWon+$7.251,80453.8%970 W · 834 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Boston Red Sox70c17.03$12 inWon+$5.113,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.