MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb95b2c7d8b4b3f8c8683cce2e0152bb63ea707fd0bf69c7c4ebb21b13fd07596
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Over | 50c | 20,384$10,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,191.93 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 8,694$4,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,289.2 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 50c | 5,752$2,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,875.88 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under | 52c | 4,431$2,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,105.31 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Under | 51c | 2,474$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.32 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…6e97backed Under | 51c | 1,907$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.29 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 50c | 1,616$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.89 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 1,419$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.63 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 50c | 1,407$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.41 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 69c | 1,250$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.5 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 49c | 1,210$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.9 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 1,161$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.79 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 52c | 1,041$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.71 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 46c | 897$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.6 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Under | 59c | 743$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.56 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 57c | 717.33$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.14 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 31c | 709.39$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.91 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 74c | 608.33$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.49 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 49c | 558.93$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.87 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 478.04$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.02 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 50c | 460.01$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 79c | 431$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.47 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Over | 49c | 418.6$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.11 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 53c | 417.76$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.41 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Over | 50c | 396$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 55c | 318.53$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.19 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a24…a0fdbacked Under | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 49c | 236.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.13 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Under | 51c | 201.88$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.92 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 47c | 161.32$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.02 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 32c | 160.61$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 50c | 108$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 54c | 100.01$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.01 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 56c | 99.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.62 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 48c | 96.48$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Under | 47c | 88.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 46c | 83.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc51…674abacked Over | 57c | 82.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 50c | 81.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…f3c5backed Under | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 55c | 71.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Under | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 50c | 62.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 55.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Over | 52c | 51.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 49c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Over | 31c | 49.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…3fdfbacked Under | 47c | 41.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 50c | 40.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 40c | 31.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 22.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d5…9622backed Under | 68c | 20.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…6ea2backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit TigersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.