TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,509
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,979

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,509 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72d8…5213backed Over50c20,384$10,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,191.936662.1%41 W · 25 L+9.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under51c8,694$4,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,289.211,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under50c5,752$2,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,875.883,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under52c4,431$2,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,105.318943.8%39 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Under51c2,474$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.321,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00024946.2%115 W · 134 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00049158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc181…6e97backed Under51c1,907$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.292969%20 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+33.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over50c1,616$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.896,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over38c1,419$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.638,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under50c1,407$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.4173748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Under69c1,250$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.51,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over49c1,210$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.975049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over45c1,161$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.7910,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over52c1,041$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.7168053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over46c897$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.63,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x433c…81eabacked Under59c743$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.5611748.7%57 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under57c717.33$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.148,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over31c709.39$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.912,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under74c608.33$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.492,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over49c558.93$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.872,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018649.5%92 W · 94 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under50c478.04$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.029,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under50c460.01$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23089053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under79c431$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.471,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Over49c418.6$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.1155052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over53c417.76$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.412,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2006,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f3…1f2abacked Over50c396$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1985446.3%25 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over55c318.53$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.191,03851.7%537 W · 501 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a24…a0fdbacked Under51c250$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.52759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over49c236.99$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.132,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Under51c201.88$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9237052.2%193 W · 177 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7772…0e56backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10020848.6%101 W · 107 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over55c180$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.181,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under47c161.32$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.021,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over32c160.61$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.499624.6%245 W · 751 L-70.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under50c108$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5478155.6%434 W · 347 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over54c100.01$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.012,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4984651.5%436 W · 410 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over56c99.32$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6266056.2%371 W · 289 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under48c96.48$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.171,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Under47c88.98$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1632450.9%165 W · 159 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under46c83.14$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.92,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc51…674abacked Over57c82.37$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.789752.6%51 W · 46 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under50c81.37$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.992,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74dd…f3c5backed Under61c80$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.211254.5%61 W · 51 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4379543%342 W · 453 L-3.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over55c71.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.541,13357.2%648 W · 485 L+35.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Under51c68.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.638848.9%43 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over50c62.67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.112,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3062554.2%339 W · 286 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under73c55.56$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9112,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Over52c51.98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0331258%181 W · 131 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2558652.7%309 W · 277 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.546557.2%266 W · 199 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over49c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Over31c49.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.241,44550.3%727 W · 718 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…3fdfbacked Under47c41.87$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.191020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-61.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under50c40.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.051,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under43c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.85,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5587…6d07backed Under47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9151656.6%292 W · 224 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over40c31.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.291,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1631…072dbacked Over47c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6577353.9%417 W · 356 L+35.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under49c22.46$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.453,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99d5…9622backed Under68c20.59$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.597643.4%33 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc56b…772abacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010759.8%64 W · 43 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.24,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.899744.1%440 W · 557 L-38.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1070455%387 W · 317 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7701…6ea2backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1017051.8%88 W · 82 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.