TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Detroit Tigersof Los Angeles Angels, Detroit Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$485,891
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$493,843

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $485,891 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1136…0c2ebacked Detroit Tigers51c120,000$61,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,799.9313340.6%54 W · 79 L-14.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Los Angeles Angels49c98,567$48,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,297.7621040%84 W · 126 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Detroit Tigers51c50,000$25,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,50041149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Los Angeles Angels49c35,555$17,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,421.951,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Detroit Tigers52c30,000$15,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,399.984156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Angels48c23,790$11,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,507.524,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Los Angeles Angels48c22,607$10,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,851.3692054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Los Angeles Angels48c20,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,60011952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Detroit Tigers52c20,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,6002070%14 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Detroit Tigers52c17,378$9,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,364.972937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Los Angeles Angels49c13,034$6,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,4211,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Los Angeles Angels47c12,177$5,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,723.2660451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels23c11,210$2,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,571.9810,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Los Angeles Angels23c10,236$2,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,345.2213534.1%46 W · 89 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Detroit Tigers50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Los Angeles Angels23c9,583$2,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,230.9395045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Detroit Tigers51c9,000$4,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4105,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Detroit Tigers50c7,362$3,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,680.8553150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Detroit Tigers51c6,065$3,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,001.433,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Los Angeles Angels49c6,010$2,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,927.881,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x99aa…6c5abacked Los Angeles Angels45c6,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7004035%14 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers56c5,633$3,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,495.4811,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Detroit Tigers76c5,403$4,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.472,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Los Angeles Angels49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.971,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e65…694fbacked Los Angeles Angels43c4,500$1,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,924.336647%31 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Detroit Tigers58c4,124$2,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,745.878,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Los Angeles Angels48c4,059$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,948.412748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Detroit Tigers52c4,000$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,939.992,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Los Angeles Angels49c3,258$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,596.451,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Los Angeles Angels49c3,258$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,596.451,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Los Angeles Angels48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44024651.6%127 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Detroit Tigers56c2,465$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.099,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Angels18c2,336$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.048,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Detroit Tigers51c2,267$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.756,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Detroit Tigers78c2,233$1,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.331,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Detroit Tigers75c2,117$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.013,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Detroit Tigers61c2,040$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.152,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Detroit Tigers51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+96%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Los Angeles Angels49c1,988$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.244744.1%197 W · 250 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Los Angeles Angels41c1,825$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.732,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Los Angeles Angels23c1,728$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.4713225%33 W · 99 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Los Angeles Angels49c1,607$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.4792046%423 W · 497 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Los Angeles Angels50c1,556$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7782,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0de…aa20backed Los Angeles Angels33c1,305$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Los Angeles Angels49c1,200$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59095850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Los Angeles Angels2c1,188$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.328762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels20c1,119$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0de8…86eabacked Los Angeles Angels23c1,103$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2533234.4%11 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed Detroit Tigers52c1,075$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5161963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Los Angeles Angels49c1,050$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.573748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Detroit Tigers67c1,025$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.012,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Los Angeles Angels23c1,021$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.7260043.3%260 W · 340 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Los Angeles Angels49c1,016$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.8424639%96 W · 150 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Detroit Tigers51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.0516248.8%79 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6101…23bcbacked Los Angeles Angels19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1909335.5%33 W · 60 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-7.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce53…834bbacked Detroit Tigers51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4909063.3%57 W · 33 L+9.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+20.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Los Angeles Angels49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49059150.3%297 W · 294 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Detroit Tigers53c1,000$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47555052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Detroit Tigers53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4702,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Detroit Tigers52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48016848.2%81 W · 87 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef1c…92adbacked Los Angeles Angels49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901225%3 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-50.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa8cc…015bbacked Detroit Tigers51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4906453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87af…c990backed Los Angeles Angels50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50032742.2%138 W · 189 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Detroit Tigers64c997.32$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.931,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Detroit Tigers53c970$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.969453.6%372 W · 322 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Detroit Tigers53c881$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.071,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Los Angeles Angels49c877.11$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.7838353.5%205 W · 178 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19bd…ae36backed Detroit Tigers58c868.51$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.5118652.7%98 W · 88 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Detroit Tigers52c807.51$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.34,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked Los Angeles Angels50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011941.2%49 W · 70 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x914a…920fbacked Detroit Tigers52c769.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.234959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed Detroit Tigers50c768.83$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.426256.5%35 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Detroit Tigers51c702.8$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.0978155.6%434 W · 347 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69eb…bbc3backed Los Angeles Angels36c700$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Detroit Tigers52c693.25$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.761,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc278…a116backed Los Angeles Angels13c648.74$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6284140.2%338 W · 503 L-3.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Detroit Tigers76c629.08$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.052,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63f5…09ddbacked Los Angeles Angels4c599.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24110%0 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe641…0f63backed Detroit Tigers53c548$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.56520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Detroit Tigers59c534.02$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.558,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Detroit Tigers50c511.21$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.616650%33 W · 33 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83a0…eabbbacked Detroit Tigers53c507.15$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.361346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57f3…4fcfbacked Detroit Tigers52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.7717954.2%97 W · 82 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Detroit Tigers71c480.36$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.0431958.6%187 W · 132 L+27.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Los Angeles Angels15c451.21$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.681,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x660a…3d22backed Los Angeles Angels50c440$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201816.7%3 W · 15 L-5.6wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-66.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Detroit Tigers51c439.58$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.9489053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Los Angeles Angels22c431.39$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-46.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12a2…c60dbacked Los Angeles Angels49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fba…26dcbacked Los Angeles Angels49c408$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8423152.8%122 W · 109 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Detroit Tigers74c405$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.32,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc468…530fbacked Detroit Tigers76c402.28$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.133274.1%246 W · 86 L+28.8wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+11.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Detroit Tigers73c395.88$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.941,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0167…d002backed Detroit Tigers51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1638145.4%173 W · 208 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Detroit Tigers52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6232350.5%163 W · 160 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9830…20f7backed Detroit Tigers51c346.19$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.631457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddd6…4e4dbacked Los Angeles Angels36c340.63$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.561540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked Los Angeles Angels27c330$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.48235.4%29 W · 53 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b12…5ee4backed Detroit Tigers50c325.13$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.5728553.3%152 W · 133 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x758e…f824backed Detroit Tigers77c325$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751877.8%14 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick76cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.