MLB · resolved market
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f83edd3530945f509ee40b7aca96db807a6abf795f6d0817c62b15c6bfdfb6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Detroit Tigers, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels | 32c | 4,310$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.11 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Detroit Tigers | 38c | 1,832$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.93 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 38c | 1,314$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.78 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Detroit Tigers | 32c | 1,125$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 1,015$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.97 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 942.24$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.3 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Detroit Tigers | 65c | 825$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.75 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Detroit Tigers | 32c | 572.68$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.44 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Detroit Tigers | 36c | 572.17$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.19 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Detroit Tigers | 64c | 555.54$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.44 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Angels | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Detroit Tigers | 34c | 480$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.72 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Detroit Tigers | 33c | 357$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.36 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 353.21$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.92 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Detroit Tigers | 32c | 323$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.64 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 223.1$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.24 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Los Angeles Angels | 21c | 164$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 25c | 116$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Detroit Tigers | 32c | 114.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.03 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Detroit Tigers | 32c | 112.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 447 | 37.4%167 W · 280 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Detroit Tigers | 32c | 111.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.82 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd764…ae83backed Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 71.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Detroit Tigers | 67c | 60.92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 459 | 52.9%243 W · 216 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Detroit Tigers | 24c | 51.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Los Angeles Angels | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Detroit Tigers | 26c | 47.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels | 34c | 45.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Detroit Tigers | 32c | 42.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44be…76b1backed Detroit Tigers | 63c | 39.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Detroit Tigers | 30c | 35.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 34.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Detroit Tigers | 38c | 28.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 26.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Los Angeles Angels | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 18.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit TigersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.