South American Leagues · resolved market
Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc75a17263f1885a41616a018a2cd0636faeff200fdd7294610f40cc3a0287945
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1440…1a39backed Under | 0c | 80,290$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 3,480$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.81 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…d93bbacked Over | 42c | 1,020$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.56 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 35c | 740.23$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.15 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 71c | 566.18$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.19 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 30c | 465.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.31 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 59c | 349.1$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.81 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Under | 50c | 313$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.5 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Under | 59c | 311.05$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.87 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 74c | 284.61$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Under | 24c | 269.47$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 124 | 14.5%18 W · 106 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a24…a0fdbacked Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 26c | 240$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Under | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 61c | 156.57$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.75 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…5463backed Over | 51c | 127.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2e…5b64backed Over | 38c | 110$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Under | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 50c | 95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 57c | 72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 75c | 70.7$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8b…9cd7backed Under | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Over | 32c | 58.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 39c | 47.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -16.3wins | -0.36per pick | 43cpaid | -90.1%equal weight | 24-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 58c | 47.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 36c | 45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…e71dbacked Under | 50c | 41.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3799…b622backed Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Under | 65c | 30.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 43c | 29.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 50c | 22.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 69c | 21.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 51c | 21.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed Over | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 75c | 15.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Carabobo FC (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.