South American Leagues · resolved market
Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10b66e302ee548056fd040e81516265bbdec06a8b0fad1d08bf08d7416d503a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 8,705$5,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,082.69 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 25c | 7,799$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.59 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Under | 51c | 5,939$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,938.54 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 47c | 1,989$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.29 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 49c | 1,783$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.2 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 1,497$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.47 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 958.63$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.56 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 72c | 634.41$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.79 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked Over | 48c | 599.97$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.99 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 65c | 553.06$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.93 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 456.99$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.4 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 51c | 409$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.67 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 50c | 338.68$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.54 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Over | 49c | 284.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.65 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 50c | 268.6$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.8 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 50c | 238$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 49c | 171.83$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.63 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Over | 51c | 127.41$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 60c | 110.62$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Over | 24c | 109.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Over | 15c | 105.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Over | 51c | 62.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 50c | 59.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 67c | 54.85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Under | 74c | 53.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 50c | 49.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…e71dbacked Under | 75c | 47.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 68c | 45.02$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 50c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…bb4ebacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 51c | 37.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Under | 67c | 32.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Under | 68c | 17.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 75c | 14.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 77c | 14.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Carabobo FC (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.