TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs largadosypelados - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
largadosypeladosof BESTIA, largadosypelados
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,173
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,054

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,173 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9b0f…3476backed largadosypelados65c1,359$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.53713.5%5 W · 32 L-7.5wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-64%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked BESTIA37c787.62$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29063541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked largadosypelados32c736.67$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.679753.6%52 W · 45 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BESTIA45c697.45$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.526,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed largadosypelados58c686.12$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.1748437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked BESTIA70c553.24$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.475,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked BESTIA68c550.82$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.8355843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed largadosypelados40c501$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3015,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed largadosypelados46c423.43$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.4426624.4%65 W · 201 L-26.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7044…2eb6backed BESTIA71c368.72$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.5715857.6%91 W · 67 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked BESTIA40c364.07$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.292,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x623d…3aeebacked largadosypelados32c340.63$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.6310137.6%38 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e1b2backed largadosypelados60c327.44$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.8620156.7%114 W · 87 L-0.9wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5779…54adbacked BESTIA63c318.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa76c…9db8backed BESTIA54c312.84$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1681421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick46cpaid-60.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked largadosypelados35c300$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19526341.1%108 W · 155 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked largadosypelados33c300$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20158343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked BESTIA57c289.75$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.547,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed BESTIA48c262$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.841,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d08…5d9fbacked BESTIA61c220$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.220248%97 W · 105 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed BESTIA31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6264439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9796…8718backed BESTIA45c195.42$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8880%0 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed BESTIA31c193.89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1118432.6%60 W · 124 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked largadosypelados30c140.44$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.862,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked BESTIA48c137.63$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4931845.3%144 W · 174 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked largadosypelados43c124.75$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.654,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe123…b4ffbacked BESTIA50c118$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598548.2%41 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked largadosypelados29c117.74$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.5920755.1%114 W · 93 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed BESTIA71c106.28$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.462,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked BESTIA48c103.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.924,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed largadosypelados29c102.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5248240%193 W · 289 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca29…a1d0backed largadosypelados58c101.72$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7222844.3%101 W · 127 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5ae…3e6cbacked BESTIA31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317236.1%26 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked BESTIA31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3121741%89 W · 128 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed BESTIA31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3137339.7%148 W · 225 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed BESTIA56c99.74$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.084,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed BESTIA60c94.03$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0525142.6%107 W · 144 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4704…515ebacked largadosypelados54c92.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7437140.7%151 W · 220 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed BESTIA31c86$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6641436.7%152 W · 262 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa163…3ccbbacked BESTIA31c86$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.664647.8%22 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+28.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked BESTIA52c79$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3891648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked BESTIA72c69.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5044675.3%336 W · 110 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa52b…baf2backed largadosypelados52c69.34$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.344654.3%25 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked BESTIA57c67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.091,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed BESTIA31c66.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7745240.3%182 W · 270 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55e9…bf34backed largadosypelados39c63.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.523644.1%104 W · 132 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd13e…ca33backed largadosypelados37c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.89826.5%26 W · 72 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97d…e699backed BESTIA54c45.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed largadosypelados41c45.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.882,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed BESTIA66c45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.741848.8%204 W · 214 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaef5…a7d6backed largadosypelados65c43.03$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.031020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-50.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad0b…99febacked largadosypelados59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3712162.8%76 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc88c…c353backed BESTIA39c39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.14156.7%1 W · 14 L-4.6wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-82.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked BESTIA34c34.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.835973%18 W · 579 L-221.0wins-0.37per pick40cpaid-90.7%equal weight11-0.36 edge/pick
0xa2e5…c8d1backed largadosypelados42c28.57$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.574955.1%27 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed BESTIA70c24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.859049.7%293 W · 297 L-31.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60ce…3273backed largadosypelados67c22.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.391275%9 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked BESTIA72c18.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5274653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.