CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs largadosypelados (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c04531ec45ec9ef7a67d97781e0b00722ea2b5dbf5b186aec30f5e79137be4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- largadosypeladosof BESTIA, largadosypelados
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed BESTIA | 53c | 6,767$3,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,586.46 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked largadosypelados | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed largadosypelados | 47c | 878.83$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.78 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…54a4backed largadosypelados | 47c | 840.43$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.43 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed largadosypelados | 47c | 658$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.74 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed largadosypelados | 47c | 434.04$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.04 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…a4cebacked largadosypelados | 47c | 413.88$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.36 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked largadosypelados | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked largadosypelados | 47c | 236.17$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.17 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x399c…6191backed largadosypelados | 47c | 219.09$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.09 | 169 | 65.1%110 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked largadosypelados | 47c | 217.87$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.47 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed largadosypelados | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed largadosypelados | 47c | 144.68$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…e759backed largadosypelados | 47c | 121.28$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.28 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed largadosypelados | 47c | 52.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f9…6000backed largadosypelados | 47c | 51.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed BESTIA | 54c | 32.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7df1backed largadosypelados | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs largadosypelados (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs largadosypelados (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Playoffslargadosypelados won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs largadosypelados - Map 2 Winnerlargadosypelados won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.