Euroleague · resolved market
Beijing Ducks vs. Qingdao Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x136f64dda61d3cda7ddb5b74c5464a0d1cdb7b5b4962fe2702c98e8ae9fd17e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Beijing Ducksof Beijing Ducks, Qingdao Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Beijing Ducks | 76c | 5,095$3,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.84 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Qingdao Eagles | 25c | 2,172$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.2 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Qingdao Eagles | 25c | 1,340$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.75 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54f…bf86backed Beijing Ducks | 68c | 1,149$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Beijing Ducks | 69c | 1,065$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.09 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…8151backed Qingdao Eagles | 32c | 1,055$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Qingdao Eagles | 15c | 952.3$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.52 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Qingdao Eagles | 11c | 950.45$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Qingdao Eagles | 28c | 847.76$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.42 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70d5…dfcbbacked Beijing Ducks | 72c | 621.41$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…b517backed Qingdao Eagles | 31c | 525.68$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.96 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Beijing Ducks | 70c | 434.19$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.78 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5373…6621backed Qingdao Eagles | 31c | 390.89$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Qingdao Eagles | 17c | 389.76$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.73 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…35b0backed Beijing Ducks | 80c | 374.21$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.84 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Qingdao Eagles | 13c | 364.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Qingdao Eagles | 20c | 344.13$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Qingdao Eagles | 6c | 318.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 86 | 11.6%10 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Qingdao Eagles | 23c | 273.06$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.12 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Qingdao Eagles | 31c | 268.8$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…423abacked Qingdao Eagles | 29c | 260.81$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ba…5173backed Qingdao Eagles | 27c | 248.37$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Beijing Ducks | 77c | 246.74$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.55 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Qingdao Eagles | 12c | 213.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Qingdao Eagles | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb806…6787backed Qingdao Eagles | 14c | 200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…3a7fbacked Qingdao Eagles | 31c | 179.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed Qingdao Eagles | 28c | 137.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7444…d12dbacked Qingdao Eagles | 36c | 133.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Beijing Ducks | 71c | 132.64$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Qingdao Eagles | 29c | 130.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Beijing Ducks | 69c | 122.85$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Qingdao Eagles | 32c | 116.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Qingdao Eagles | 19c | 105.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad41…2bb4backed Beijing Ducks | 72c | 100.02$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Beijing Ducks | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Beijing Ducks | 71c | 99.55$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Qingdao Eagles | 30c | 90.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c38…a15abacked Beijing Ducks | 78c | 89.35$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Qingdao Eagles | 30c | 86.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…cb3fbacked Qingdao Eagles | 34c | 84.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb30c…6cefbacked Qingdao Eagles | 28c | 82.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Qingdao Eagles | 25c | 79.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Qingdao Eagles | 30c | 74.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d1…074bbacked Beijing Ducks | 68c | 72.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…e326backed Beijing Ducks | 70c | 70.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Qingdao Eagles | 31c | 66.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Beijing Ducks | 69c | 64.44$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Qingdao Eagles | 21c | 54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Qingdao Eagles | 27c | 48.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Qingdao Eagles | 28c | 41.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9221…9419backed Beijing Ducks | 70c | 39.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Beijing Ducks | 75c | 39.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb743…c116backed Beijing Ducks | 75c | 39.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Beijing Ducks | 80c | 37.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1a…e414backed Qingdao Eagles | 33c | 36.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed90…d1ffbacked Beijing Ducks | 70c | 36.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Beijing Ducks | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7395…fdeebacked Beijing Ducks | 69c | 29.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…5f6cbacked Beijing Ducks | 73c | 29.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79f3…be50backed Qingdao Eagles | 34c | 29.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe32b…72f7backed Beijing Ducks | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6890…d1a4backed Beijing Ducks | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 76cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Qingdao Eagles | 38c | 27.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Beijing Ducks | 73c | 24.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…1c78backed Beijing Ducks | 69c | 21.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Beijing Ducks | 73c | 20.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Beijing Ducks | 65c | 18.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked Beijing Ducks | 64c | 17.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.