Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81071a97267efb16af8cc1f815add4436691846b44e37491fc2d5822c6f8d56a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Côte d'Ivoireof Côte d'Ivoire, Korea Republic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Côte d'Ivoire | 71c | 2,460$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.31 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Côte d'Ivoire | 19c | 954.13$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.24 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Côte d'Ivoire | 70c | 910.42$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.86 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Korea Republic | 25c | 586.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.68 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…d3dcbacked Korea Republic | 6c | 560$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Korea Republic | 37c | 498.11$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.37 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Côte d'Ivoire | 76c | 328$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Côte d'Ivoire | 18c | 303.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.73 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…b560backed Côte d'Ivoire | 19c | 255.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.72 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Côte d'Ivoire | 39c | 226.42$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.96 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Côte d'Ivoire | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a1…d929backed Korea Republic | 39c | 128.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd22e…288abacked Korea Republic | 25c | 109.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0b…94d1backed Côte d'Ivoire | 73c | 100.59$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Côte d'Ivoire | 14c | 100.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.97 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Côte d'Ivoire | 15c | 88.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.23 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9757…9191backed Korea Republic | 37c | 81.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…bb8abacked Côte d'Ivoire | 26c | 70$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb30c…6cefbacked Côte d'Ivoire | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Côte d'Ivoire | 77c | 50.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…e68dbacked Côte d'Ivoire | 66c | 32.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Côte d'Ivoire | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Côte d'Ivoire | 78c | 22.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)this page
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Korea Republic: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.