South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CS Cristal vs. Carabobo FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42de3b042ab39ff4e0609ed4cde384cd8c710f9ad42555d9e82e703b91f84b44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,882 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 2,893$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.37 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 20c | 1,392$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 19c | 1,249$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.17 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 1,087$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.55 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 548.58$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.13 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 345.83$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.17 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 29c | 225.9$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.51 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 18c | 149$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 28c | 110.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…9d70backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 26c | 65.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…64d6backed Yes | 20c | 61.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 29c | 60.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 29c | 57.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 29c | 45.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 70c | 27.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5e…54a1backed No | 72c | 27.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 71c | 24.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ef…362fbacked No | 52c | 22.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CS Cristal vs. Carabobo FC end in a draw?this page
- Will CS Cristal win on 2026-03-11?No won
- Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-03-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.