South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Sarmiento vs. Racing Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51bff168ad837bd9535a4b7493c10d5f464f7e38033d83135fe037d32fb955cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,958 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 56c | 12,930$7,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,202.8 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 46c | 10,826$4,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,845.85 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 45c | 1,672$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.21 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 41c | 1,609$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.45 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 10c | 1,066$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.1 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 42c | 606.38$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.99 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked No | 38c | 530$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.4 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 65c | 403.15$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.78 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 68c | 354$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.72 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 65c | 332.59$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.92 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 69c | 250$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 29c | 179.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 68c | 125$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 31c | 123.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.53 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 45c | 118.31$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.13 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 68c | 115$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 66c | 96.75$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 22c | 96.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 68c | 90$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked No | 16c | 81.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 27c | 79.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 68c | 69.11$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 33c | 68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 50c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed No | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -9.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 69c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f4…e01abacked Yes | 47c | 53.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ab…10c8backed No | 65c | 50.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 69c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 69c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Yes | 31c | 48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 67c | 45.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked No | 56c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 31c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…e5bebacked Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…e72bbacked Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 69c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Yes | 56c | 18.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 69c | 15.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Sarmiento vs. Racing Club end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-03-10?No won
- Will Racing Club win on 2026-03-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.