Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc715c4f0552643592a7a65dc23c28abd42f5183eb339bc97a8f1adddf3ed8597
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,815 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 2,365$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.31 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 1,998$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.2 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 18c | 1,268$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.6 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 28c | 1,089$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.88 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 835.37$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.6 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 10c | 781.28$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.51 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 26c | 686.79$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.88 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Yes | 28c | 489.29$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 44cpaid | -62%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 30c | 334.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 27c | 202.34$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 28c | 155$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 77c | 133.6$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 398 | 55.8%222 W · 176 L | +31.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 21c | 119.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 14c | 104.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 17c | 82.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 26c | 57.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 28c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 72c | 44.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 565 | 45.5%257 W · 308 L | -24.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 28c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…a9cabacked No | 73c | 25.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 73cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-03-13?No won
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-03-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.