Tweets · resolved market
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe13580121403007fe058e9e461f2dba3b2292ee636f74d510e004c7d84449771
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8168…90e7backed No | 68c | 3,103$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.49 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes | 32c | 1,090$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.43 | 91 | 16.5%15 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0472…fc04backed Yes | 73c | 588.51$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.33 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e50…98f0backed Yes | 39c | 506.88$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.49 | 330 | 27.9%92 W · 238 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d7…b428backed Yes | 31c | 483.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 40c | 289.71$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.23 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -80%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…567fbacked Yes | 28c | 278.66$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.02 | 361 | 13.3%48 W · 313 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…3833backed Yes | 65c | 239.77$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.71 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…bddcbacked Yes | 27c | 193.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2772…e6c7backed Yes | 22c | 190.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 8c | 169.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…c6c3backed Yes | 12c | 162.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 39c | 159.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 41c | 156.49$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.93 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked Yes | 35c | 153.95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 278 | 20.9%58 W · 220 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 67c | 153.07$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7849…da97backed Yes | 60c | 131.19$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.72 | 341 | 27.3%93 W · 248 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50bd…d20fbacked Yes | 26c | 119$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 99 | 11.1%11 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 70c | 117.27$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc45…9c6ebacked Yes | 26c | 111.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 14c | 110.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 430 | 27%116 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…8954backed No | 27c | 110$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede3…e3f2backed Yes | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed No | 28c | 93.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf880…3628backed Yes | 23c | 92.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6ea9backed Yes | 35c | 87.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfea…8006backed Yes | 24c | 85.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 28c | 79.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 72c | 75.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de4…9f53backed Yes | 28c | 75.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x299c…d85ebacked Yes | 56c | 75.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…e8c6backed Yes | 49c | 68.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 132 | 59.8%79 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 28c | 66.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 62c | 63.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024b…ab5dbacked Yes | 22c | 61.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 50c | 60.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd482…355dbacked No | 27c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…b489backed Yes | 28c | 52.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25a7…a4c8backed Yes | 29c | 52.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a23…184abacked Yes | 38c | 50.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 312 | 42.9%134 W · 178 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed No | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…e56fbacked Yes | 28c | 46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked Yes | 70c | 42.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 32c | 41.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…31b1backed Yes | 67c | 34.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 55c | 34.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 92 | 25%23 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2225…bee7backed No | 76c | 24.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…ad18backed No | 68c | 23.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 74c | 21.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…3362backed No | 73c | 20.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb94…bffebacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82f…aba0backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…3a77backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CZ post 0-19 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?this page
- Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No won
- Will CZ post 40-59 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes won
- Will CZ post 60-79 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.