Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Cloud Rising (BO3) - DreamLeague China Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa897d0e20a727bee0c8325d6cd5507c7e7a1fbeb2a6027e48cf960008b752605
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yakult Brothersof Yakult Brothers, Cloud Rising
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2775…3652backed Cloud Rising | 22c | 5,258$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.6 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44fa…d852backed Yakult Brothers | 74c | 4,574$3,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 76cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Cloud Rising | 24c | 3,223$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.34 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Yakult Brothers | 68c | 2,735$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.17 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Yakult Brothers | 68c | 2,542$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.24 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed Cloud Rising | 39c | 2,458$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.52 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Cloud Rising | 28c | 1,792$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.81 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cloud Rising | 28c | 1,436$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.19 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…a39dbacked Cloud Rising | 31c | 1,429$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.12 | 105 | 61%64 W · 41 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Cloud Rising | 29c | 1,163$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.79 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8681…ef99backed Cloud Rising | 22c | 1,082$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.08 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Yakult Brothers | 73c | 1,064$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.35 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…2f35backed Cloud Rising | 13c | 1,063$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.91 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Cloud Rising | 31c | 1,008$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.86 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2837…39d8backed Yakult Brothers | 66c | 999.98$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Cloud Rising | 19c | 833.76$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.66 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Cloud Rising | 30c | 750$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Cloud Rising | 28c | 717.45$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.59 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Cloud Rising | 27c | 708.3$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.24 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yakult Brothers | 71c | 677.38$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.39 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Yakult Brothers | 63c | 656.5$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.78 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Cloud Rising | 24c | 640.74$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.4 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Cloud Rising | 26c | 452.69$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.91 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a5…d074backed Cloud Rising | 7c | 434.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07a2…b478backed Cloud Rising | 6c | 425.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Cloud Rising | 28c | 407.26$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.65 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Cloud Rising | 49c | 393.51$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.95 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Cloud Rising | 5c | 362.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Cloud Rising | 58c | 356.95$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.47 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Cloud Rising | 12c | 339.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Cloud Rising | 27c | 309.44$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.55 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Yakult Brothers | 52c | 260.18$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.76 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Yakult Brothers | 52c | 250.65$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.77 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Cloud Rising | 28c | 237.53$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x547c…7983backed Cloud Rising | 28c | 231.85$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked Yakult Brothers | 45c | 222.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.08 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yakult Brothers | 78c | 215.12$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -8.5wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Cloud Rising | 27c | 214.23$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.39 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed Yakult Brothers | 72c | 209$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.94 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Cloud Rising | 13c | 190.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Cloud Rising | 30c | 175.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…c45fbacked Cloud Rising | 56c | 175.37$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Yakult Brothers | 62c | 167.03$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bc…6c1bbacked Yakult Brothers | 65c | 166.67$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Cloud Rising | 28c | 162.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Cloud Rising | 23c | 159.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Yakult Brothers | 72c | 144.29$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed Cloud Rising | 28c | 140.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Cloud Rising | 18c | 133.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Cloud Rising | 20c | 133.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed Yakult Brothers | 78c | 126.6$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…59c4backed Cloud Rising | 10c | 113.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Cloud Rising | 31c | 106.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed Cloud Rising | 28c | 105.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Yakult Brothers | 60c | 104.61$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Yakult Brothers | 71c | 102.5$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Yakult Brothers | 68c | 100.62$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Cloud Rising | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…f645backed Cloud Rising | 19c | 99.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a72…e380backed Cloud Rising | 32c | 99.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cloud Rising | 46c | 96.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x039e…a342backed Yakult Brothers | 63c | 95.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Cloud Rising | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Cloud Rising | 25c | 88.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed Cloud Rising | 17c | 82.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Cloud Rising | 14c | 75.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Cloud Rising | 28c | 74.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Cloud Rising | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Cloud Rising | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Cloud Rising | 44c | 69.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2eda…4498backed Cloud Rising | 30c | 69.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Cloud Rising | 44c | 65.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c4…7a73backed Cloud Rising | 25c | 51.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Cloud Rising | 34c | 49.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…b2a6backed Cloud Rising | 62c | 49.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3e…1316backed Cloud Rising | 29c | 48.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Yakult Brothers | 62c | 47.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yakult Brothers | 74c | 47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3878…1ab8backed Yakult Brothers | 63c | 45.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1676…ab19backed Yakult Brothers | 52c | 44.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…bb4abacked Yakult Brothers | 60c | 42.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Cloud Rising | 31c | 41.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec3…2c88backed Yakult Brothers | 48c | 40.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yakult Brothers | 69c | 39.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 105 | 71.4%75 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Cloud Rising | 29c | 38.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 149 | 62.4%93 W · 56 L | +21.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Cloud Rising | 30c | 38.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81fe…4089backed Yakult Brothers | 67c | 36.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x984b…88fbbacked Cloud Rising | 51c | 35.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Cloud Rising | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…c96ebacked Yakult Brothers | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Cloud Rising | 44c | 34.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Yakult Brothers | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 316 | 59.8%189 W · 127 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…6237backed Yakult Brothers | 57c | 29.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…d11fbacked Yakult Brothers | 70c | 29.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…c264backed Cloud Rising | 62c | 26.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 48 | 77.1%37 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked Yakult Brothers | 80c | 24.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f3…35b9backed Yakult Brothers | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…227bbacked Yakult Brothers | 72c | 23.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c0e6backed Yakult Brothers | 70c | 20.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 222 | 59%131 W · 91 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Yakult Brothers | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Cloud Rising (BO3) - DreamLeague China Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Cloud Rising - Game 1 WinnerYakult Brothers won
- Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Cloud Rising - Game 2 WinnerCloud Rising won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.