La Liga · resolved market
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83e74bd3d7c349a35258bb67be702b47463b2dc570d87e6d58d217607fc0e836
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Under | 12c | 5,563$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.02 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 8c | 3,341$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.26 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 12c | 2,947$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.03 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under | 2c | 1,200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 5cpaid | +283.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 25c | 1,022$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.53 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 14c | 976.25$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 2c | 950$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +203%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 70c | 771.57$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.47 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 15c | 719.17$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.01 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd119…28abbacked Over | 70c | 504.21$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.26 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 30c | 493$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.9 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…abffbacked Under | 23c | 461.33$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 71c | 415.59$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.82 | 90 | 71.1%64 W · 26 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 71c | 345.99$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.34 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 29c | 324.61$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.14 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 35c | 288.79$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.41 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 30c | 240.72$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.22 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Over | 63c | 216.81$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f15…50cbbacked Over | 70c | 210.43$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 70c | 199.21$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.76 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 70c | 196.4$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…ed83backed Under | 11c | 190.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 71c | 189.31$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 15c | 185.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac6…bdf8backed Under | 28c | 179.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 70c | 170.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Over | 71c | 138.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Over | 80c | 127.92$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x523b…cd5abacked Over | 70c | 115.69$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 74c | 106.42$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 30c | 105.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 71c | 87.19$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…fcd2backed Over | 70c | 84.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 42 | 83.3%35 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed Under | 25c | 76.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…b28bbacked Under | 32c | 74.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Over | 69c | 71.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 69c | 71.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 40 | 82.5%33 W · 7 L | +6.5wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 19c | 69.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 70c | 65.53$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 69c | 63.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 100 | 63%63 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf7…cb5bbacked Over | 76c | 62.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 68cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 30c | 49.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 30c | 49.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 30c | 48.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 30c | 48.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 30c | 48.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd337…30bebacked Under | 31c | 46.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Under | 32c | 44.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f6…4288backed Over | 70c | 42.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 25 | 92%23 W · 2 L | +5.2wins | +0.21per pick | 71cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…cbe8backed Over | 69c | 35.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…0774backed Over | 69c | 35.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bf…f385backed Over | 74c | 34.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 31c | 32.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Under | 31c | 32.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 31c | 32.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 31c | 32.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4644…4dfcbacked Over | 70c | 30.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe083…d0d5backed Over | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…d3cbbacked Over | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec3…2c88backed Over | 64c | 22.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc252…0aebbacked Over | 69c | 22.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x695f…1b67backed Over | 70c | 22.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Over | 70c | 21.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x284a…017ebacked Over | 70c | 18.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Over | 77c | 16.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)FC Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.