South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-05-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b0f429a92048466a2dd954934acb0974c5129304516d4a91b25a9c45a5bce64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed No | 76c | 3,600$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.02 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,707$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 2,675$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.2 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 24c | 2,150$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 6c | 1,558$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.55 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 77c | 1,326$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.35 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 24c | 1,013$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.12 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…239bbacked Yes | 24c | 834.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 24c | 800$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 24c | 580.61$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.35 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 77c | 402.41$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.43 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 23c | 278.37$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.03 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x109e…0a59backed Yes | 24c | 204.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 23c | 159.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 77c | 131.25$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 23c | 119.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…f28dbacked Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6b…aaa3backed Yes | 28c | 104.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 22c | 87.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e7…dfaabacked Yes | 19c | 63.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 57.6$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked No | 78c | 50.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb6…0152backed Yes | 25c | 47.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf64…e473backed Yes | 24c | 44.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…77e6backed No | 76c | 39.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 105 | 64.8%68 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 70c | 32.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 76c | 30.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 79c | 21.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 77c | 18.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 77c | 17.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed No | 74c | 13.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 77c | 13.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-05-05?this page
- Will Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CS Cienciano end in a draw?No won
- Will Academia Puerto Cabello win on 2026-05-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.