South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Academia Puerto Cabello win on 2026-05-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3e33b815520ed1d71e9692af242326afe7d587c4666d9647a80ae66e41c3545
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Yes | 49c | 7,727$3,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,941.86 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +39%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 51c | 2,997$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.61 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 51c | 901.96$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 51c | 582.8$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.23 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 51c | 498$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.98 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 49c | 430.42$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.51 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed No | 52c | 423.08$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 23c | 416.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.89 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 80c | 302$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.54 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 49c | 240$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 49c | 215.22$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.76 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 20c | 214.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 49c | 202.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.54 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ad…fb53backed No | 50c | 198.72$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Yes | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 51c | 158.79$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.98 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 50c | 150$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 51c | 129.92$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.26 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Yes | 77c | 129.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 18c | 109.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Yes | 50c | 104$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d7…32d8backed No | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 51c | 93.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 77c | 87.27$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 31c | 87.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 21c | 78.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 17c | 69.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 78c | 65.78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 76c | 65.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…7dffbacked No | 24c | 62.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 80c | 54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 21c | 50.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 50c | 50.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 51c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa251…505fbacked No | 51c | 49.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 50c | 43.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 78c | 41.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89db…d0efbacked No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…dd56backed Yes | 53c | 30.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…380cbacked Yes | 77c | 27.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yes | 48c | 25.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 50c | 23.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 21.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf64…e473backed No | 50c | 21.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc060…2a5abacked Yes | 78c | 21.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Yes | 51c | 20.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…d3a5backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…316abacked Yes | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Academia Puerto Cabello win on 2026-05-05?this page
- Will Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CS Cienciano end in a draw?No won
- Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-05-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.