World Politics · resolved market
Another Canada election called in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6e89cd4fe5a591806d4f621773460003ac5f30c4db720cabf22ea14fa1d032b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $493,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $439,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $493,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a54…43fcbacked Yes | 15c | 19,815$2,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,948.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 7c | 18,888$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.98 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 10c | 15,112$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.58 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Yes | 8c | 13,602$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.45 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc282…0c5fbacked Yes | 9c | 10,937$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.13 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 7,773$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.83 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b89…e708backed Yes | 11c | 7,251$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.65 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked Yes | 8c | 6,690$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.75 | 57 | 15.8%9 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 2c | 6,626$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.15 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…1559backed Yes | 12c | 6,499$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.08 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…bb52backed Yes | 12c | 6,372$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.51 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa999…203cbacked Yes | 6c | 6,303$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.02 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8b…a3e9backed Yes | 17c | 5,784$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…0714backed Yes | 11c | 5,755$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f7…6c94backed Yes | 6c | 5,745$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.06 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf118…1f58backed Yes | 13c | 5,424$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.82 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17f…60eebacked Yes | 17c | 5,277$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38d…6c36backed Yes | 12c | 5,061$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4117…bf12backed Yes | 6c | 4,666$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…e1e3backed Yes | 6c | 4,132$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f63…680ebacked Yes | 5c | 4,088$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed Yes | 16c | 4,043$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.28 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 31cpaid | +90%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a9…79bbbacked Yes | 13c | 3,949$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb844…93b9backed Yes | 5c | 3,783$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 5c | 3,750$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked Yes | 9c | 3,633$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.03 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…2cb5backed Yes | 14c | 3,626$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea19…95b1backed Yes | 6c | 3,539$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf45d…8fd0backed Yes | 14c | 3,202$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…60d6backed Yes | 9c | 3,074$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e3…c075backed Yes | 7c | 3,047$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.66 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8095…a292backed Yes | 15c | 2,701$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 9c | 2,699$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.74 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3bdbbacked Yes | 9c | 2,204$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 12c | 2,092$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.86 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a99…d99bbacked Yes | 13c | 2,027$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6537…62b5backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4195…a375backed Yes | 18c | 1,983$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 12c | 1,841$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.34 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…b95dbacked Yes | 16c | 1,774$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe79a…3cd1backed Yes | 9c | 1,734$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…ec46backed Yes | 6c | 1,576$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,510$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 179 | 21.2%38 W · 141 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…70f9backed Yes | 9c | 1,481$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4212…0295backed Yes | 12c | 1,439$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddb…8495backed Yes | 7c | 1,349$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Yes | 4c | 1,345$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0168…1f4bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,341$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ae…237bbacked Yes | 18c | 1,316$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.31 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 166 | 16.9%28 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…0f76backed Yes | 3c | 1,220$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0be…8534backed Yes | 6c | 1,167$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 8c | 1,151$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70d9…7c38backed Yes | 12c | 1,145$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.19 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…7041backed Yes | 16c | 1,137$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e7…5e49backed Yes | 11c | 1,011$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…d03dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,000$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2229…e543backed Yes | 9c | 997.22$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 972.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478d…2c41backed Yes | 24c | 901$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfda4…e18abacked Yes | 12c | 853.32$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…a584backed Yes | 16c | 832.27$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f00…a62fbacked Yes | 4c | 792$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 78c | 775.48$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.54 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b7…9341backed Yes | 12c | 759.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.38 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…6502backed Yes | 10c | 730$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x515d…5aefbacked Yes | 6c | 724.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67d…9cafbacked Yes | 10c | 715.82$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.33 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfda3…e971backed Yes | 11c | 715.55$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +48%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd291…103ebacked Yes | 8c | 686.89$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f49…4ef5backed Yes | 16c | 669.74$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…d809backed Yes | 12c | 663.51$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.25 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac31…1058backed Yes | 6c | 640.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…ffc2backed Yes | 10c | 626.85$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 4c | 616.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x666e…d5d7backed Yes | 17c | 602.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…be05backed Yes | 3c | 600.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df6…6008backed Yes | 10c | 590.39$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea0c…b136backed Yes | 17c | 588.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…f3febacked Yes | 7c | 587.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e31…4716backed Yes | 7c | 568.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 3c | 530.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 172 | 27.9%48 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…2044backed Yes | 16c | 525.26$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a53…9a25backed Yes | 23c | 525$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked Yes | 3c | 512.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf878…48bbbacked Yes | 10c | 500$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed1…cc85backed Yes | 12c | 480.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 10c | 479.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab7d…79a2backed Yes | 6c | 469.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23a8…8004backed Yes | 5c | 460.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…686bbacked No | 77c | 415.43$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.32 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca2…d884backed Yes | 12c | 412.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa948…8e3ebacked Yes | 6c | 369.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…ad2abacked Yes | 22c | 352.41$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02e8…d63ebacked Yes | 9c | 350$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf4…a1d3backed Yes | 16c | 346.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0436…1039backed Yes | 15c | 345.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc2…7f0dbacked Yes | 16c | 340.01$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed Yes | 8c | 320$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 129 | 20.9%27 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.