Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Florida vs. Auburn combine for 161+ points?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf426d8f53d64107179438eaf548cfcda7fbeb4def55f570dcb05cdab1f884e32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 44c | 1,500$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked Yes | 46c | 824.66$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.28 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 46c | 756.13$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.45 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked No | 53c | 750$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.5 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed No | 56c | 668.5$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.14 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ac…7f5abacked No | 56c | 496.68$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +119.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed No | 55c | 378$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.32 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.