NFL · resolved market
Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl play in the AFC East?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x092c91d348e732e6e1d10cb85e855ae2982167cc8a514de6d5ce0ed6a81b3406
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 625 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,775$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 4c | 3,026$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.64 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Yes | 30c | 1,684$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.17 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 1,411$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.9 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 32c | 990.28$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.89 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked No | 67c | 538.91$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.28 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeadd…79d9backed Yes | 25c | 478$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 31c | 437.97$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.77 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb29…5709backed Yes | 26c | 419$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…13bdbacked Yes | 25c | 378$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 22c | 374.31$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.72 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…24eebacked Yes | 26c | 374$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b40…2eb7backed Yes | 26c | 291$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c38…d022backed Yes | 26c | 289$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce65…d590backed Yes | 26c | 284$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cd…adabbacked Yes | 26c | 274$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…d3ffbacked Yes | 26c | 261$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…a99ebacked Yes | 26c | 260$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…84debacked Yes | 26c | 241$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7f…1e13backed Yes | 25c | 232$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099c…3be4backed Yes | 32c | 231.21$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…e641backed Yes | 25c | 231$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 29c | 226.35$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.07 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…b90fbacked Yes | 26c | 220$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a1…379abacked Yes | 29c | 216.07$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.21 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5009…bc89backed Yes | 25c | 215$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x039f…ec28backed Yes | 26c | 211$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb59f…fb2cbacked Yes | 26c | 202$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd4…5830backed No | 68c | 199.55$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ca…1ba3backed Yes | 25c | 197$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 74c | 189.9$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a94…454ebacked Yes | 25c | 188$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0d…82b6backed Yes | 26c | 183$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8155…c068backed Yes | 25c | 181$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0233…8e68backed Yes | 26c | 177$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…bfd4backed No | 75c | 175$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3664…f267backed Yes | 33c | 170$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…2697backed Yes | 25c | 170$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…9431backed Yes | 31c | 164.07$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…9cadbacked No | 75c | 163$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b4…b0c1backed Yes | 26c | 160$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f3…b22bbacked Yes | 26c | 160$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbd…cbdcbacked Yes | 26c | 158$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…9afabacked Yes | 26c | 157$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 27cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b00…d1c2backed Yes | 26c | 156$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d3…5fbebacked No | 74c | 155$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…7040backed Yes | 33c | 153.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…ac1cbacked Yes | 26c | 151$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe194…08e5backed No | 74c | 151$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6db…b398backed Yes | 26c | 145$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…3e88backed No | 74c | 145$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…3a42backed Yes | 26c | 143$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0584…9d55backed Yes | 26c | 143$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e2…25c1backed No | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e1…38efbacked Yes | 26c | 139$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…c6dbbacked No | 75c | 138$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +170.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…91afbacked No | 74c | 137$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc804…a2bbbacked Yes | 25c | 137$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e01…457cbacked Yes | 26c | 136$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3430…a63ebacked No | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ad…3e3ebacked Yes | 25c | 135$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ee…c3a0backed No | 75c | 135$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf85c…9c19backed Yes | 26c | 134$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa651…0921backed No | 74c | 134$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4832…ac0dbacked No | 75c | 128$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc30…ebd1backed Yes | 25c | 128$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0d…afc5backed Yes | 26c | 127$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca5…1855backed Yes | 25c | 125$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4c…4d70backed No | 75c | 124$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8038…b731backed No | 74c | 123$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f2…8df6backed Yes | 26c | 122$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb39…0975backed Yes | 26c | 121$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…659fbacked Yes | 26c | 121$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…b3d3backed Yes | 26c | 117$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66d5…0f0bbacked Yes | 25c | 116$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…f06abacked Yes | 25c | 115$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e9…d57abacked Yes | 26c | 115$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec11…5021backed Yes | 26c | 113$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfcc…58dfbacked No | 74c | 112$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x372c…99f0backed No | 75c | 112$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7229…b5e1backed Yes | 25c | 111$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…ce7bbacked Yes | 26c | 109$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66d4…c093backed No | 74c | 108$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb092…09a1backed Yes | 26c | 108$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ce…1deebacked Yes | 25c | 107$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d2…79dabacked Yes | 25c | 106$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7114…46dabacked Yes | 25c | 105$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2f…1ff5backed Yes | 26c | 104$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…609ebacked Yes | 26c | 104$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1101…0efabacked No | 74c | 104$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48b5…0e9fbacked Yes | 25c | 104$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0418…21d1backed No | 75c | 104$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b4…33cbbacked No | 74c | 102$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9b…5ae4backed Yes | 26c | 101$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Yes | 26c | 100.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362f…3a8bbacked Yes | 26c | 99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9365…16bfbacked Yes | 26c | 98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22dd…8659backed Yes | 25c | 98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb89d…b110backed No | 74c | 97$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d82…15fcbacked No | 74c | 96$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +165.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl play in the AFC East?this page
- Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl play in the AFC North?No won
- Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl play in the AFC West?No won
- Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl play in the NFC East?No won
- Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl play in the NFC North?No won
- Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl play in the NFC South?No won
- Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl play in the NFC West?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.