WNBA · resolved market
Aces vs Valkyries
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe35fe4aefbf502b728a23a30d7c05ee21e81ce14093b473ab8ea11622a6b3c35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valkyriesof Aces, Valkyries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Valkyries | 13c | 1,424$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.83 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Valkyries | 15c | 1,192$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.59 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Valkyries | 14c | 1,069$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.13 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Valkyries | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.67 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Valkyries | 15c | 658.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.23 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Valkyries | 42c | 530$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.46 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Valkyries | 14c | 500$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Valkyries | 21c | 452.9$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +206.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c65…845dbacked Valkyries | 14c | 288.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Aces | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Valkyries | 17c | 114.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.91 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Aces | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Valkyries | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Aces | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Valkyries | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Aces | 58c | 78.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -36%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Aces | 79c | 24.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.