F1 · resolved market
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x887cc62c78690c95dde08447d3fc6e71f4b1bf4895aa788caeb58d3569632906
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5d6…f957backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,561$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7566…ae05backed Yes | 16c | 2,811$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 10c | 2,421$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.76 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…994dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,170$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 14c | 1,660$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.36 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 7c | 1,400$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.15 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,346$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.23 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…4134backed Yes | 8c | 975.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…a368backed Yes | 19c | 960.38$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a45…cf97backed Yes | 16c | 794.68$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.67 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22bf…0df3backed Yes | 23c | 750$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 2c | 699.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes | 18c | 652.13$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 6c | 600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 20c | 500$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 125 | 23.2%29 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27c…b5d8backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 11c | 500$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Yes | 12c | 453.21$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ad…04a8backed Yes | 78c | 408.99$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 12c | 406.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe65f…a749backed Yes | 13c | 390.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19af…dd83backed Yes | 11c | 368.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 336.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155c…1b09backed Yes | 12c | 291.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…be87backed Yes | 10c | 192.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…6939backed Yes | 6c | 191.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9423…e525backed Yes | 11c | 180.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…858bbacked Yes | 11c | 175.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…addfbacked Yes | 13c | 159.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecf…e6afbacked Yes | 11c | 119.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c0…0305backed Yes | 22c | 119.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3147…7667backed Yes | 20c | 101.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ca…198bbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 16c | 88.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…ab8fbacked Yes | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed Yes | 22c | 62.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 77 | 15.6%12 W · 65 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…7564backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…5a9abacked No | 78c | 39.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will Esteban Ocon win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will Franco Colapinto win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will Lance Stroll win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will Liam Lawson win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?Yes won
- Will Nico Hulkenberg win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will Oliver Bearman win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will Pierre Gasly win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will Yuki Tsunoda win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.