Tennis · resolved market
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Zachary Svajda
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c509a57c34bc5c07b90006b9878cdff6955754ff5e7f72f8dd78ff2630b86aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Djokovicof Djokovic, Svajda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $220,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x979f…4032backed Djokovic | 79c | 20,000$15,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,290.39 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Svajda | 7c | 16,400$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Svajda | 11c | 9,998$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.82 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed Svajda | 8c | 7,797$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.48 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Svajda | 12c | 6,900$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Svajda | 8c | 6,641$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.35 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Svajda | 16c | 5,670$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.43 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Svajda | 22c | 5,644$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.62 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Svajda | 7c | 4,846$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.65 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Svajda | 14c | 4,500$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.61 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Svajda | 7c | 3,702$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.13 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Svajda | 1c | 3,342$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Svajda | 19c | 3,164$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.13 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…1742backed Svajda | 24c | 2,351$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Svajda | 10c | 2,340$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.59 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Svajda | 29c | 2,009$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.55 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Svajda | 7c | 1,950$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Svajda | 7c | 1,299$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.96 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Svajda | 14c | 1,250$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Svajda | 9c | 1,145$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Svajda | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Svajda | 17c | 1,101$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.79 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…2f0dbacked Svajda | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Svajda | 10c | 899.4$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.94 | 324 | 48.1%156 W · 168 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Svajda | 10c | 886.36$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Svajda | 9c | 800$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Svajda | 17c | 592.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe65f…a749backed Djokovic | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Svajda | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Svajda | 20c | 493$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.05 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Djokovic | 70c | 402.07$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.62 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Svajda | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 119 | 27.7%33 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Svajda | 8c | 399.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…7564backed Svajda | 15c | 380$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Svajda | 27c | 372.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Svajda | 20c | 300$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Svajda | 18c | 279.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Svajda | 7c | 278$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…e524backed Svajda | 12c | 275$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30e2…e415backed Svajda | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Svajda | 12c | 230$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x810f…044cbacked Svajda | 7c | 210.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Svajda | 8c | 201$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc302…4a52backed Svajda | 12c | 170$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e1…9c10backed Djokovic | 70c | 143.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Djokovic | 74c | 135.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…0b72backed Djokovic | 79c | 126.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Djokovic | 73c | 120$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Svajda | 27c | 110.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Djokovic | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Djokovic | 74c | 74.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…725ebacked Djokovic | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0d…786fbacked Djokovic | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4045…3307backed Djokovic | 78c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Djokovic | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.