Tennis · resolved market
US Open: Emma Navarro vs Barbora Krejcikova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3febdfd436c0044c0984c4179853d5de11b7183ecffc5c8bb6ee5f4189399ad7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krejcikovaof Navarro, Krejcikova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Krejcikova | 52c | 10,064$5,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,876.03 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de3…26fdbacked Navarro | 26c | 9,789$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Navarro | 79c | 7,055$5,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,597.09 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Krejcikova | 48c | 5,348$2,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.54 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Krejcikova | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Navarro | 49c | 3,965$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.71 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Krejcikova | 45c | 2,143$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.18 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Krejcikova | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Krejcikova | 49c | 1,843$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.9 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Navarro | 60c | 1,646$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.32 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Navarro | 52c | 1,532$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.35 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Krejcikova | 44c | 1,226$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.29 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Navarro | 61c | 1,202$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.03 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Krejcikova | 50c | 1,197$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.4 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Navarro | 69c | 1,071$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.46 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Krejcikova | 50c | 1,028$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Navarro | 50c | 999.78$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.52 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Navarro | 34c | 971.04$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Krejcikova | 68c | 932.41$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.02 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Navarro | 58c | 858.85$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe65f…a749backed Navarro | 52c | 770$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.7 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Krejcikova | 51c | 743.16$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.16 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x431b…1d9cbacked Navarro | 54c | 608.57$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.63 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Navarro | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…5683backed Krejcikova | 31c | 500$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.79 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Navarro | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.91 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Krejcikova | 46c | 481.48$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…5d9ebacked Navarro | 64c | 467.19$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Navarro | 45c | 445.71$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.57 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Navarro | 50c | 408.87$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.64 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Krejcikova | 20c | 403.23$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.95 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…6b7fbacked Navarro | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Navarro | 55c | 364.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Krejcikova | 52c | 326.33$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.33 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Krejcikova | 46c | 320.37$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Krejcikova | 52c | 291.51$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.29 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e1…9c10backed Navarro | 51c | 281.59$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Krejcikova | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Krejcikova | 45c | 249.89$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.4 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Krejcikova | 40c | 225.67$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.72 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Navarro | 51c | 225.49$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Krejcikova | 38c | 217.75$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.49 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Krejcikova | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Krejcikova | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Krejcikova | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Navarro | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Navarro | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Krejcikova | 44c | 179.45$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.49 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Krejcikova | 33c | 175.34$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.48 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…cfecbacked Krejcikova | 50c | 169.79$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.79 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Krejcikova | 50c | 164$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b2…273bbacked Krejcikova | 57c | 161.94$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.31 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…d4d8backed Navarro | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Krejcikova | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.54 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed Krejcikova | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…df6fbacked Navarro | 66c | 120$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Krejcikova | 57c | 105.17$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.17 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Navarro | 43c | 101.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Navarro | 49c | 101$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Krejcikova | 47c | 75.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Navarro | 71c | 70.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…438abacked Navarro | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…3668backed Krejcikova | 66c | 60.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed Krejcikova | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Navarro | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Navarro | 75c | 53.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Navarro | 63c | 53.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b3…0e14backed Krejcikova | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Navarro | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Navarro | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…36abbacked Krejcikova | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3573…b6f9backed Navarro | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbf…4ffabacked Navarro | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Navarro | 65c | 17.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 173 | 38.7%67 W · 106 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.