MLB · resolved market
Rockies vs. Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35f6cee6d621d49d54e0188d111c3a077dca812e6b47cafff346061d35294437
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Rockies, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb37c…164ebacked Rangers | 68c | 1,800$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rockies | 28c | 1,797$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.41 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…4d99backed Rockies | 32c | 1,777$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.64 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Rangers | 68c | 845.95$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.7 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Rockies | 32c | 845$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.4 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockies | 32c | 768.57$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.94 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Rangers | 69c | 600.09$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.09 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Rockies | 30c | 458.74$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.62 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Rangers | 67c | 445.34$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.34 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Rockies | 31c | 411.64$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.61 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rockies | 31c | 401.68$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.52 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rockies | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies | 6c | 327.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rangers | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Rockies | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rockies | 6c | 223.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Rangers | 67c | 149.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46ef…9686backed Rangers | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ab…cdcbbacked Rangers | 67c | 111.39$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…0f6bbacked Rangers | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceca…fcdfbacked Rangers | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Rangers | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf7…b626backed Rockies | 33c | 98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…9462backed Rangers | 67c | 98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3986…187ebacked Rockies | 33c | 96.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Rangers | 69c | 84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rockies | 30c | 79.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4019…3838backed Rockies | 32c | 78.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Rangers | 68c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7263…9d1fbacked Rangers | 68c | 51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Rangers | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Rangers | 69c | 48.12$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Rockies | 31c | 47.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33b2…30bcbacked Rangers | 68c | 45.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…af37backed Rockies | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d8…90f6backed Rockies | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 43cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16a8…b903backed Rockies | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…9f82backed Rangers | 69c | 43.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5b…295cbacked Rockies | 33c | 42.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a3…8b71backed Rockies | 32c | 42.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rockies | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…31f7backed Rockies | 32c | 38.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…28d8backed Rangers | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…e6ebbacked Rangers | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Rangers | 69c | 36.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd2…7f1dbacked Rangers | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c4…2e51backed Rangers | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3a…b6afbacked Rangers | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Rangers | 68c | 28.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Rangers | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…2f24backed Rangers | 69c | 24.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4139…2955backed Rangers | 67c | 22.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d3…ffe9backed Rangers | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Rangers | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…7707backed Rangers | 70c | 21.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490d…472bbacked Rangers | 70c | 21.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eff…4ba2backed Rangers | 70c | 21.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a19…d6a8backed Rangers | 70c | 20.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb770…3a5abacked Rangers | 70c | 20.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Rangers | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…b028backed Rangers | 70c | 19.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9a…a73dbacked Rangers | 69c | 19.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe3…1ed6backed Rangers | 70c | 19.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bee…72c4backed Rangers | 69c | 19.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa6…4da4backed Rangers | 70c | 19.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae3a…bdd7backed Rangers | 69c | 18.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b1…0c27backed Rangers | 70c | 18.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe805…4d2abacked Rangers | 70c | 18.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04d6…15d7backed Rangers | 70c | 17.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c2…f57abacked Rangers | 70c | 17.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.