College Football · resolved market
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb73c8ed0e2218dea2eb5b98e85b802aaa21008128d5c3942f458026e494bc149
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Tech Red Raidersof Texas Tech Red Raiders, BYU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 51c | 28,427$14,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,930.45 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed BYU | 49c | 20,359$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed BYU | 49c | 9,247$4,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,531.05 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed BYU | 46c | 4,380$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.57 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3d…5d4cbacked BYU | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 54c | 3,480$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.8 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 53c | 3,079$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.86 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed BYU | 45c | 2,749$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.05 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 53c | 1,506$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.02 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 54c | 1,354$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.67 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 54c | 1,053$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.39 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…cf77backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 54c | 779$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.34 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 52c | 653.85$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.85 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed BYU | 52c | 479.81$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.5 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked BYU | 48c | 247.28$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.06 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 54c | 218.52$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.52 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…0d78backed BYU | 52c | 211$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.72 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 198.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.39 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 51c | 196.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.53 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 177.81$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.46 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed BYU | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…b17abacked BYU | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed BYU | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 55c | 94.75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe966…0228backed BYU | 52c | 59.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed BYU | 48c | 53.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed BYU | 47c | 21.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-11.5)this page
- BYU vs. Texas Tech Red RaidersTexas Tech Red Raiders won
- BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 51.5Under won
- O/U 52.5Under won
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-10.5)Texas Tech Red Raiders won
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-13.5)Texas Tech Red Raiders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.