College Football · resolved market
Spread: Georgia (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94fd8986469adb8b22f5745be0fafaf7714a1387f4c4e05601f1ed62b4044ec0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Gatorsof Georgia, Florida Gators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Georgia | 49c | 97,104$47,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,365.57 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7189…b454backed Florida Gators | 53c | 33,527$17,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,681.62 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Florida Gators | 52c | 17,796$9,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,542.22 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Florida Gators | 52c | 13,605$7,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,574.4 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Florida Gators | 51c | 10,290$5,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,021.74 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Florida Gators | 50c | 5,505$2,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,748.95 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Florida Gators | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.96 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Florida Gators | 52c | 4,250$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Florida Gators | 52c | 3,300$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.3 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Georgia | 47c | 3,046$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.73 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Florida Gators | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Florida Gators | 51c | 2,676$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.2 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Georgia | 48c | 2,550$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Florida Gators | 52c | 1,300$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Georgia | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Florida Gators | 50c | 890.29$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.28 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Florida Gators | 53c | 755$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.85 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Georgia | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Florida Gators | 52c | 494.89$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.1 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Georgia | 39c | 460$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.4 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Georgia | 47c | 400$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Georgia | 46c | 368.48$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.5 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8159…8d5cbacked Florida Gators | 54c | 368.28$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.41 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Georgia | 49c | 225$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Florida Gators | 53c | 212.08$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.08 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Georgia | 48c | 208.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Georgia | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Florida Gators | 53c | 206.6$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.49 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…6825backed Florida Gators | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…c716backed Georgia | 48c | 174$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.52 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc997…7bb8backed Georgia | 48c | 160$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Georgia | 48c | 152.76$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.97 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…7942backed Georgia | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Florida Gators | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Florida Gators | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Florida Gators | 53c | 95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Georgia | 49c | 85.55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Georgia | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…b17abacked Florida Gators | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Georgia | 49c | 51.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ac…a025backed Georgia | 49c | 51.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Florida Gators | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…d4d8backed Georgia | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…8c00backed Georgia | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…acc5backed Florida Gators | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Georgia (-7.5)this page
- Georgia vs. Florida GatorsGeorgia won
- O/U 50.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.