NFL · resolved market
Spread: Bengals (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19ea2f25018ec6072138a6ba07faa5c0b376620f3d05c568580b59aa215969ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bengalsof Bengals, Dolphins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Dolphins | 56c | 21,329$11,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,900.25 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Bengals | 47c | 16,000$7,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,479.98 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Dolphins | 53c | 11,874$6,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,293.47 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Bengals | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,416.67 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Dolphins | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…ca67backed Bengals | 48c | 8,500$4,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,404.99 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Bengals | 46c | 7,098$3,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,833.05 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bengals | 46c | 5,922$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,191.37 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Bengals | 47c | 5,500$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,915 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Dolphins | 54c | 5,000$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Dolphins | 51c | 3,763$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.14 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Dolphins | 58c | 2,412$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.26 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Bengals | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.95 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bengals | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.99 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Dolphins | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.95 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Dolphins | 52c | 1,715$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.99 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Dolphins | 53c | 1,493$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.13 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Bengals | 46c | 1,212$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.7 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +10.7wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Bengals | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Bengals | 48c | 1,192$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da6…59fabacked Bengals | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Dolphins | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafdc…c2a2backed Bengals | 47c | 965.96$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.96 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Dolphins | 52c | 675$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…7e47backed Dolphins | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Dolphins | 52c | 538.46$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Bengals | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Bengals | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Dolphins | 53c | 423.15$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.86 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Dolphins | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…f0b8backed Bengals | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Bengals | 48c | 312.22$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.22 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -6.5wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -50%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Bengals | 47c | 284$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.52 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Dolphins | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Dolphins | 50c | 233.65$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.13 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe36b…095dbacked Dolphins | 54c | 217.41$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +65%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Bengals | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Bengals | 46c | 217.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.19 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Bengals | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Bengals | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…d86bbacked Bengals | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Dolphins | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Dolphins | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Dolphins | 54c | 190$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe64…873ebacked Bengals | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…7d18backed Bengals | 44c | 129.41$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fadabacked Bengals | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Dolphins | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…6135backed Dolphins | 52c | 101$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0915…d08abacked Bengals | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Dolphins | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201a…66a8backed Dolphins | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Bengals | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Dolphins | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6422…a346backed Dolphins | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Dolphins | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…a7efbacked Dolphins | 53c | 92.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…8d9abacked Dolphins | 53c | 87.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Bengals | 42c | 68.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Dolphins | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Bengals | 47c | 68.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Bengals | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe5…fd84backed Bengals | 49c | 53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bengals | 48c | 52.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked Bengals | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Bengals | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Dolphins | 52c | 49.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 297 | 51.5%153 W · 144 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Dolphins | 52c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…85bcbacked Bengals | 49c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…a470backed Bengals | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…e115backed Bengals | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…4656backed Bengals | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecb…87ddbacked Dolphins | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3971…dc73backed Dolphins | 54c | 36.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…3ea9backed Dolphins | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 266 | 60.9%162 W · 104 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c58…8c00backed Dolphins | 53c | 34.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Dolphins | 51c | 30.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…fba2backed Dolphins | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bengals | 48c | 26.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Dolphins | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe1…7d0dbacked Bengals | 48c | 24.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Dolphins | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bengals (-4.5)this page
- Bengals vs. DolphinsBengals won
- Bengals vs. Dolphins: 1H MoneylineBengals won
- Bengals vs. Dolphins: 1H O/U 23.5Over won
- Bengals vs. Dolphins: O/U 47.5Over won
- Bengals vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5Over won
- Bengals vs. Dolphins: O/U 49.5Over won
- Bengals vs. Dolphins: O/U 50.5Over won
- Spread: Bengals (-2.5)Bengals won
- Spread: Bengals (-3.5)Bengals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.