Tennis · resolved market
European Open: Zizou Bergs vs Raphael Collignon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b744b9e6572ac096ee6fbbd4d798289d96618cbaab0d49d7a438f9dd82c01bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Collignonof Bergs, Collignon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Collignon | 53c | 9,720$5,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,548.69 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Bergs | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…e221backed Bergs | 55c | 5,850$3,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Collignon | 43c | 5,395$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,095.86 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Collignon | 45c | 4,777$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,647.83 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bergs | 44c | 4,249$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.39 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bergs | 42c | 2,669$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.26 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Collignon | 51c | 1,898$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.89 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Collignon | 62c | 1,796$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.1 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Bergs | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Collignon | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Bergs | 59c | 840.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bergs | 52c | 750$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Collignon | 44c | 744$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.55 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Bergs | 20c | 546.7$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.34 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Bergs | 50c | 500.88$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f3…7304backed Collignon | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…0b32backed Bergs | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Collignon | 44c | 499.97$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.98 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Collignon | 47c | 494.08$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.76 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Collignon | 48c | 486$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.72 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f8…2d91backed Bergs | 23c | 483.33$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Collignon | 41c | 427$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.93 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd941…bc46backed Bergs | 28c | 413.03$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Bergs | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bergs | 55c | 388.35$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.98 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Collignon | 45c | 386.76$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.72 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Collignon | 43c | 374.49$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.79 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Bergs | 60c | 368.68$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Bergs | 41c | 350.33$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.30per pick | 48cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Collignon | 44c | 344.25$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.94 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Bergs | 58c | 342.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…745ebacked Bergs | 24c | 338.81$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Bergs | 55c | 276.18$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.9 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Bergs | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Bergs | 58c | 237.07$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Bergs | 30c | 194.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.56 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bergs | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Bergs | 55c | 155.51$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.53 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Bergs | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Bergs | 41c | 145.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Bergs | 10c | 144$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7d…5aeebacked Bergs | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -7.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bergs | 65c | 128.23$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.35 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Bergs | 57c | 124.53$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Collignon | 49c | 121.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.96 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Bergs | 11c | 120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Collignon | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Bergs | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd843…7d56backed Bergs | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Bergs | 56c | 99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Bergs | 52c | 97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…5976backed Bergs | 44c | 89.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Collignon | 45c | 86.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.18 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c88…8570backed Bergs | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4206…acbdbacked Bergs | 17c | 71.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…fcc9backed Bergs | 59c | 66.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…05f5backed Bergs | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ad…70aabacked Bergs | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Bergs | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Bergs | 56c | 45.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Bergs | 59c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Collignon | 46c | 39.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…843ebacked Bergs | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Bergs | 61c | 32.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Collignon | 44c | 30.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Collignon | 42c | 26.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140f…5022backed Bergs | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed Collignon | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8161…e08ebacked Bergs | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Bergs | 57c | 19.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba4f…7ecebacked Bergs | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.