NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6db5ae72a11f50c5c66a3baea48f496f4b6aa7118dd59a4fbc40ea3807db1529
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Over | 45c | 11,600$5,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,220 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ba…c2a0backed Under | 56c | 10,300$5,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,532 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 55c | 10,163$5,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,573.5 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ac…14d1backed Under | 56c | 9,452$5,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,158.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Under | 57c | 6,744$3,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,927.92 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under | 55c | 6,685$3,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,976.35 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…e0bfbacked Under | 56c | 5,500$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d9…e7cebacked Over | 44c | 5,200$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e77…a8c8backed Over | 44c | 5,200$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ede…da07backed Under | 56c | 4,442$2,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf146…a957backed Over | 44c | 4,377$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…a9f3backed Over | 44c | 4,201$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c93…1c7ebacked Under | 56c | 3,928$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 44c | 3,779$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.7 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe746…a739backed Under | 56c | 3,700$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abb…f7e4backed Over | 44c | 3,488$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa025…e693backed Over | 44c | 3,452$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…4c70backed Over | 44c | 3,415$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07a3…3dbfbacked Under | 56c | 3,376$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 43c | 3,344$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.92 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…b159backed Over | 44c | 3,328$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…3be5backed Under | 56c | 3,100$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa412…25bdbacked Over | 44c | 3,019$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x905e…0adebacked Over | 44c | 2,904$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…df86backed Over | 44c | 2,900$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…9076backed Under | 56c | 2,800$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5a…ee3cbacked Under | 56c | 2,688$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee7…88dfbacked Over | 44c | 2,400$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c6…1c31backed Under | 56c | 2,370$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Over | 45c | 2,300$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…493abacked Over | 44c | 2,300$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Over | 44c | 2,300$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847a…944fbacked Over | 44c | 2,200$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 55cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0900…52bebacked Over | 44c | 2,150$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37f7…be88backed Under | 56c | 2,150$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 45cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…de47backed Under | 56c | 2,100$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c24…718bbacked Under | 56c | 2,072$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 44c | 1,955$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…3911backed Under | 56c | 1,950$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…1138backed Over | 44c | 1,799$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe69d…344cbacked Over | 44c | 1,795$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc963…a478backed Over | 44c | 1,677$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…c216backed Over | 44c | 1,668$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1084…9d96backed Under | 56c | 1,600$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa948…e45abacked Over | 44c | 1,588$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -59%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b7…5c6bbacked Over | 44c | 1,560$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +45%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8571…61fabacked Over | 44c | 1,520$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f6…6199backed Under | 56c | 1,465$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc8…e6a4backed Over | 44c | 1,450$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…52d2backed Over | 44c | 1,415$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…4bacbacked Under | 56c | 1,340$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe85…0628backed Over | 44c | 1,250$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f1…5b3ebacked Over | 44c | 1,011$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e29…9c58backed Under | 56c | 1,010$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…69fabacked Under | 56c | 918$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…1d73backed Under | 56c | 750$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Under | 55c | 700$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…dfb4backed Under | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Over | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…3b5bbacked Over | 44c | 513$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Over | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Under | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d42…c873backed Under | 56c | 321$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd0…8e1ebacked Over | 44c | 277$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Under | 55c | 222.22$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d81…56b1backed Under | 56c | 189$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Over | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Over | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Over | 45c | 149$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.05 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 43c | 120.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…2c36backed Under | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -9.4wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x639d…0f9fbacked Over | 44c | 86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x946c…4909backed Under | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8669…65d6backed Over | 44c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…06f9backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5this page
- Senators vs. BruinsBruins won
- Senators vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.