College Football · resolved market
Kentucky vs. Auburn
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d9094fea97bbc83de4aa218b94de5e492b608dcf16b38589dc1fc4fd77247bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kentuckyof Kentucky, Auburn
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Kentucky | 23c | 25,000$5,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,250 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Kentucky | 70c | 13,291$9,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,008.29 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kentucky | 47c | 6,677$3,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,535.94 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Auburn | 77c | 6,303$4,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,853.1 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Kentucky | 76c | 5,487$4,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.2 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Auburn | 24c | 4,752$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.25 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Kentucky | 19c | 4,400$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,574 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Kentucky | 34c | 4,305$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,844.05 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb632…e435backed Auburn | 26c | 3,475$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Auburn | 77c | 3,456$2,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,661.09 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Kentucky | 20c | 2,639$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.38 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Auburn | 18c | 2,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kentucky | 71c | 2,483$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.96 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Kentucky | 20c | 1,975$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.79 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Auburn | 77c | 1,900$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.5 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kentucky | 19c | 1,803$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.63 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Kentucky | 22c | 1,800$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.25 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Auburn | 78c | 1,784$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.13 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kentucky | 46c | 1,643$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.63 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Auburn | 78c | 1,491$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.23 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Kentucky | 19c | 1,274$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.1 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Kentucky | 21c | 1,200$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.09 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Auburn | 78c | 1,042$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.06 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Auburn | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Auburn | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Kentucky | 22c | 999.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Kentucky | 70c | 900$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Kentucky | 20c | 898.26$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.61 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Auburn | 22c | 601.82$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.48 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Auburn | 32c | 593.5$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.1 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Auburn | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Auburn | 79c | 500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Kentucky | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…b63fbacked Auburn | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf7…836abacked Kentucky | 58c | 499.66$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Kentucky | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Auburn | 50c | 383.8$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.58 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Auburn | 65c | 371.86$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.71 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30d…0f56backed Auburn | 35c | 282.54$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Kentucky | 23c | 240.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.37 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Auburn | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Kentucky | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd5…1306backed Kentucky | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Kentucky | 21c | 199.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Kentucky | 21c | 193$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.47 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Kentucky | 68c | 169$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Kentucky | 22c | 150$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Kentucky | 21c | 149.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.49 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kentucky | 37c | 127.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.97 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…95ffbacked Auburn | 78c | 127.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Auburn | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Kentucky | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.6 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…7518backed Auburn | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Kentucky | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0b…b4a7backed Kentucky | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Kentucky | 21c | 95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.05 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…09a3backed Kentucky | 23c | 88.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.44 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Auburn | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Auburn | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Auburn | 77c | 72$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Auburn | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3c…7346backed Kentucky | 39c | 56.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Auburn | 40c | 39.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b2…ea62backed Auburn | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c9…f8d9backed Auburn | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4de…cb5cbacked Auburn | 78c | 33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3518…6454backed Auburn | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 77cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…e189backed Auburn | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 76cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd4…d37abacked Kentucky | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28fb…9490backed Auburn | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kentucky vs. Auburnthis page
- Kentucky vs. Auburn: O/U 44.5Under won
- O/U 45.5Under won
- Spread: Auburn (-10.5)Kentucky won
- Spread: Auburn (-11.5)Kentucky won
- Spread: Auburn (-12.5)Kentucky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.