MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. San Diego Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeff539a76b8106d0c6a4b57292ea77bb9d3772584bfc8db32db7de608a0913db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Athletics, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $505,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $522,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $505,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Athletics | 38c | 193,761$73,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120,131.74 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91a…3987backed San Diego Padres | 62c | 184,209$114,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114,209.58 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed San Diego Padres | 62c | 30,201$18,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,724.62 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 9c | 26,231$2,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,367.19 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres | 11c | 23,557$2,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,558.01 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Athletics | 41c | 12,333$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,332.57 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres | 61c | 11,911$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.39 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed San Diego Padres | 9c | 11,124$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.52 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Athletics | 38c | 10,236$3,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,342.69 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Athletics | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,200 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked San Diego Padres | 61c | 9,999$6,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,099.32 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed San Diego Padres | 62c | 7,500$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,650 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked San Diego Padres | 15c | 7,422$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.52 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…4106backed San Diego Padres | 61c | 6,914$4,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,217.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed San Diego Padres | 23c | 6,421$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Athletics | 39c | 5,128$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,128.21 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Athletics | 39c | 5,021$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,062.5 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Athletics | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Athletics | 38c | 4,679$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900.98 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres | 19c | 4,676$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.81 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed San Diego Padres | 16c | 4,409$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.43 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Athletics | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.92 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed San Diego Padres | 20c | 3,521$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.95 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Diego Padres | 61c | 3,341$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.84 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Athletics | 40c | 3,250$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Athletics | 53c | 2,778$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.04 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked San Diego Padres | 61c | 2,575$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.74 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked San Diego Padres | 13c | 2,366$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.33 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…7c31backed San Diego Padres | 12c | 2,331$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.94 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed San Diego Padres | 11c | 2,278$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.85 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Athletics | 79c | 2,042$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.36 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed San Diego Padres | 1c | 1,750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed San Diego Padres | 3c | 1,709$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…89a4backed San Diego Padres | 19c | 1,579$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed San Diego Padres | 6c | 1,460$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.13 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Athletics | 76c | 1,426$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.14 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked San Diego Padres | 61c | 1,425$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.25 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Athletics | 39c | 1,380$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.5 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Athletics | 39c | 1,358$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.42 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…ccbebacked San Diego Padres | 3c | 1,295$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Diego Padres | 61c | 1,174$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.3 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Athletics | 40c | 1,018$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.99 | 119 | 48.7%58 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed San Diego Padres | 12c | 1,009$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.85 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed San Diego Padres | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked San Diego Padres | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Athletics | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Athletics | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed San Diego Padres | 19c | 936.16$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.95 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked San Diego Padres | 12c | 847.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 45.7%128 W · 152 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc513…98babacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 832.3$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.79 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed San Diego Padres | 3c | 820.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed San Diego Padres | 12c | 811.96$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.43 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed San Diego Padres | 12c | 811.92$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.43 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed San Diego Padres | 12c | 811.92$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.43 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 800.1$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.84 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Athletics | 39c | 799.98$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.79 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked San Diego Padres | 61c | 795.72$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.39 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef2…4e03backed San Diego Padres | 62c | 795.26$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Athletics | 39c | 780$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.8 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked San Diego Padres | 13c | 775.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Athletics | 39c | 771$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.31 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed San Diego Padres | 4c | 724.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres | 11c | 716.56$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.08 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed San Diego Padres | 3c | 696.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked San Diego Padres | 24c | 655.42$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.33 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a7eabacked San Diego Padres | 3c | 630$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Athletics | 39c | 600$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked San Diego Padres | 12c | 599.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ff…3214backed San Diego Padres | 9c | 562.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked San Diego Padres | 14c | 512$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed San Diego Padres | 38c | 508.03$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.05 | 253 | 51.8%131 W · 122 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Athletics | 40c | 504.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.49 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Athletics | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Athletics | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Athletics | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.99 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Athletics | 38c | 485$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.7 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres | 16c | 469.18$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.84 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…824bbacked San Diego Padres | 14c | 450$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +10.6wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres | 15c | 447.63$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Athletics | 38c | 432$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.84 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Athletics | 39c | 410$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.1 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed San Diego Padres | 12c | 400.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Athletics | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Athletics | 39c | 394.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.94 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Athletics | 44c | 388.62$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.51 | 416 | 37.5%156 W · 260 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…2f61backed San Diego Padres | 9c | 387.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Athletics | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.62 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked San Diego Padres | 60c | 383.04$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.83 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Athletics | 39c | 381.84$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.92 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed San Diego Padres | 3c | 375$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed San Diego Padres | 61c | 360$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.6 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Athletics | 62c | 359.72$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.43 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Athletics | 39c | 354$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.94 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked San Diego Padres | 61c | 348.98$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.88 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Athletics | 39c | 330$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.3 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked San Diego Padres | 60c | 324.95$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.97 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cff…eeb8backed San Diego Padres | 8c | 320.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 70 | 10%7 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Diego Padres | 12c | 320.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. San Diego Padresthis page
- Athletics vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5Under won
- Athletics vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 11.5Under won
- Athletics vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5Over won
- Athletics vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Over won
- Athletics vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Under won
- Athletics vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Under won
- Athletics vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. San Diego PadresYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.