MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb771dbbdd66e347bb186717308d381170d2516514d5ceaee721824e73050d001
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 54c | 4,739$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.65 | 552 | 53.1%293 W · 259 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 55c | 4,627$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.93 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 29c | 3,708$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.88 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 72c | 3,012$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.03 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 3,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.99 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.96 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 36c | 2,099$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.53 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 42c | 1,822$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.89 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 1,667$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.04 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 46c | 1,417$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.91 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…e1a1backed Over | 44c | 1,240$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +7.0wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 46c | 1,200$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 45c | 1,152$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.52 | 575 | 51.7%297 W · 278 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 37c | 1,123$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.36 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 54c | 1,088$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.48 | 686 | 52.9%363 W · 323 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 45c | 1,057$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.83 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 55c | 1,035$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.59 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 47c | 1,005$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.35 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 45c | 1,000$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.4 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 59c | 919.08$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.82 | 324 | 51.9%168 W · 156 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 38c | 763.3$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.66 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 61c | 733$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.87 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 24c | 726.92$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.94 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 45c | 701.9$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.86 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 55c | 658.43$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.9 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 56c | 625$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 301 | 50.8%153 W · 148 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 45c | 541.75$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.64 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 45c | 502.67$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.2 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 710 | 44.5%316 W · 394 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 45c | 426.59$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.7 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 41c | 418.46$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.81 | 1,040 | 51.8%539 W · 501 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 39c | 313.97$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.31 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 298$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.1 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 45c | 280.87$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.39 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 36c | 272.58$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.13 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 225.37$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.01 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 45c | 224$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 36c | 202.85$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.03 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…2f61backed Under | 70c | 186.59$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.74 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 63c | 169.82$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 40c | 166.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 17c | 165.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 999 | 24.6%246 W · 753 L | -70.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 59c | 126.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 29c | 103.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 46c | 102.55$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 43c | 101.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Under | 55c | 93.8$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 36c | 91.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 45c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…eadebacked Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc51…674abacked Over | 38c | 86.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 549 | 51.2%281 W · 268 L | +29.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…10c0backed Under | 59c | 83.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 57c | 82.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 483 | 43.3%209 W · 274 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…7dfbbacked Over | 18c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 330 | 32.7%108 W · 222 L | -22.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 48c | 73.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…c435backed Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 55c | 69.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…516dbacked Over | 42c | 69.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 37c | 68.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…be20backed Under | 60c | 63.13$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 55c | 59.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 53c | 54.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 44c | 51.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c0…5dd2backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 184 | 58.2%107 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 47c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 60c | 49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 37c | 46.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 53c | 44.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 1,022 | 50.6%517 W · 505 L | +54.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 55c | 43.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 49c | 43.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 55c | 43.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Under | 55c | 42.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd030…f3f0backed Over | 36c | 40.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1b…5710backed Over | 36c | 40.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 56c | 34.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 384 | 53.6%206 W · 178 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ee…31cabacked Over | 44c | 34.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9176…6181backed Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Under | 63c | 32.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Under | 69c | 28.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Under | 55c | 25.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 661 | 59.5%393 W · 268 L | +3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.3wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Over | 41c | 24.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Under | 61c | 21.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5this page
- Athletics vs. San Diego PadresAthletics won
- Athletics vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5Under won
- Athletics vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 11.5Under won
- Athletics vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5Over won
- Athletics vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Over won
- Athletics vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Under won
- Athletics vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. San Diego PadresYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.