TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Seattle Storm vs. Connecticut Sun

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Seattle Stormof Seattle Storm, Connecticut Sun
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,516
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,219

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,516 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed Seattle Storm58c11,111$6,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,667.0510749.5%53 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Connecticut Sun42c4,880$2,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,054.3750952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Connecticut Sun46c2,875$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.621,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Connecticut Sun42c2,574$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.1255255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Seattle Storm57c1,915$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.688762.1%54 W · 33 L-0.4wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Connecticut Sun25c1,690$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.8237850%189 W · 189 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Seattle Storm55c1,600$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.1915250.7%77 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Connecticut Sun1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Connecticut Sun40c1,051$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.1612745.7%58 W · 69 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe21e…f216backed Connecticut Sun50c940.95$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.871631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-42%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked Connecticut Sun2c883.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Connecticut Sun34c741.19$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.279129.7%27 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c66…c204backed Connecticut Sun60c600$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Connecticut Sun47c593.73$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.0610548.6%51 W · 54 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x620f…4288backed Connecticut Sun37c540.48$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.33333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Seattle Storm53c528.51$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.49044.4%40 W · 50 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Connecticut Sun43c507.46$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.4389349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked Connecticut Sun2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+106%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Seattle Storm55c499.98$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.996440.6%26 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Connecticut Sun63c472.62$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.226237.1%23 W · 39 L-6.6wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-33.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Seattle Storm32c469.7$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.72846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Connecticut Sun9c438.38$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6714936.9%55 W · 94 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Seattle Storm50c399.99$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20213745.3%62 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Connecticut Sun35c359.37$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.7814942.3%63 W · 86 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Connecticut Sun40c329.85$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9231847.8%152 W · 166 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Storm53c285.43$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.3785158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x87bb…42b0backed Seattle Storm49c268.94$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.26475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+48.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Connecticut Sun51c258.94$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.065044%22 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Connecticut Sun38c249.13$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957929.1%23 W · 56 L-8.4wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-34.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Connecticut Sun40c236.73$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.219428.9%56 W · 138 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa04…796bbacked Connecticut Sun53c215.87$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.271442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Seattle Storm57c211.86$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2431448.4%152 W · 162 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Connecticut Sun42c209$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.781040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Connecticut Sun45c200.67$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.32853.6%15 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f41…b387backed Connecticut Sun48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Connecticut Sun46c199.6$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.121337.6%80 W · 133 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37e7…4a56backed Seattle Storm51c196.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6808…899bbacked Connecticut Sun50c180$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x332e…df71backed Connecticut Sun45c167.88$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Connecticut Sun42c145.25$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.284252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc037…7240backed Seattle Storm53c120.27$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x763b…865ebacked Seattle Storm51c117.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Connecticut Sun42c113.28$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.583345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Connecticut Sun47c110$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.730%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cee…bd00backed Seattle Storm52c110$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b11…c845backed Connecticut Sun53c109.53$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.05520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Connecticut Sun34c100.8$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.692552%13 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Seattle Storm31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.24771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Seattle Storm51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.042152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Connecticut Sun47c96.1$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.536127.9%17 W · 44 L-10.1wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-42.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed Seattle Storm37c94.46$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5110039%39 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf2d…1100backed Connecticut Sun53c94.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-40.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Connecticut Sun54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012045%54 W · 66 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Seattle Storm55c85.6$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.522045%9 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Connecticut Sun48c85.43$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.012857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Connecticut Sun71c84.51$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a63…ceabbacked Connecticut Sun49c83.48$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.099146.2%42 W · 49 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Seattle Storm47c82.63$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.794540%18 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Connecticut Sun44c78.57$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5330347.2%143 W · 160 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Connecticut Sun47c77.62$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4824546.9%115 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6161…c834backed Connecticut Sun45c75.17$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.69450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe31d…fcc3backed Connecticut Sun45c74.86$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.45520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-62.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0d…ca21backed Seattle Storm57c71.64$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Connecticut Sun48c70.31$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4419646.9%92 W · 104 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Connecticut Sun42c68$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5615346.4%71 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Seattle Storm49c63.57$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.167045.7%32 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Connecticut Sun42c59.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.174949%24 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Seattle Storm52c57.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.823948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75b6…8ad0backed Connecticut Sun49c57.14$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5192…df62backed Connecticut Sun49c54.47$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Seattle Storm59c54.44$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.325660.7%34 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Connecticut Sun39c53.06$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.933528.6%10 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-48.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2a…e8a9backed Seattle Storm49c51.22$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.222138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Seattle Storm40c50.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.382373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+33.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Seattle Storm49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25af…e17bbacked Connecticut Sun51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44d3…f4ffbacked Connecticut Sun48c49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.52837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f19…db92backed Seattle Storm49c41.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Connecticut Sun46c40.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.544047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Connecticut Sun51c40.27$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.544652.2%24 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+39.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa7a…899bbacked Connecticut Sun40c39.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.751526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Connecticut Sun42c38.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3418850%94 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Connecticut Sun32c38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.361042.5%259 W · 351 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28ba…d4fbbacked Seattle Storm49c36.81$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.811770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+39.6%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xa426…c9f3backed Connecticut Sun63c36.31$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3609…4e3bbacked Seattle Storm76c36.01$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe10f…e8bbbacked Seattle Storm56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Seattle Storm48c35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.29351.6%48 W · 45 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x42c4…9e35backed Connecticut Sun44c34.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Seattle Storm43c33.37$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.862339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+39.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Seattle Storm49c33.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.993756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f2c…d0dfbacked Seattle Storm30c32.94$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.942466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Seattle Storm57c31.37$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.495149%25 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49c8…3c52backed Connecticut Sun51c30.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.66955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Connecticut Sun45c28.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135141.2%21 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Connecticut Sun45c28.25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.656254.8%34 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…667dbacked Seattle Storm74c27.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.162867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Seattle Storm60c25.36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.141566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea87…8066backed Connecticut Sun52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Connecticut Sun43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7513440.3%54 W · 80 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.