Tennis · resolved market
Santos: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Luis Guto Miguel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7aed31e571fe80b8b9119d01938d2197cc9e8d0631f63af8143fb7afb15d9947
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luis Guto Miguelof Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez, Luis Guto Miguel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 31c | 1,615$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.6 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Luis Guto Miguel | 57c | 1,308$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.66 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Luis Guto Miguel | 76c | 1,118$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.81 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Luis Guto Miguel | 79c | 951.94$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.54 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Luis Guto Miguel | 50c | 797.9$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.91 | 1,883 | 44.8%843 W · 1,040 L | +36.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Luis Guto Miguel | 51c | 647.06$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.06 | 1,187 | 62.8%746 W · 441 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Luis Guto Miguel | 51c | 588.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.23 | 1,881 | 45.7%860 W · 1,021 L | +51.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb943…375bbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 47c | 536.82$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.32 | 176 | 49.4%87 W · 89 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 40c | 458.15$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.66 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 50c | 456.27$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.7 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f05…d802backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 9c | 444.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 50c | 399.98$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.16 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…39eebacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 30c | 337.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…42b0backed Luis Guto Miguel | 49c | 297.72$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 37c | 225.88$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Luis Guto Miguel | 77c | 211.45$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 525 | 57%299 W · 226 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 29c | 198.2$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Luis Guto Miguel | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 652 | 50.3%328 W · 324 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…7ddfbacked Luis Guto Miguel | 52c | 182.15$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.43 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 50c | 145$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Luis Guto Miguel | 48c | 135.28$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 303 | 39.9%121 W · 182 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 35c | 133.47$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 19c | 132.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Luis Guto Miguel | 55c | 123.85$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.73 | 257 | 63.4%163 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…1414backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 27c | 122.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 35c | 108.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Luis Guto Miguel | 80c | 105$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Luis Guto Miguel | 54c | 102.76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.27 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 341 | 54.3%185 W · 156 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 15c | 99.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d8…9ccdbacked Luis Guto Miguel | 48c | 99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 26c | 93.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Luis Guto Miguel | 57c | 77.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 58c | 74.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Luis Guto Miguel | 42c | 63.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 345 | 49.9%172 W · 173 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 48c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Luis Guto Miguel | 78c | 60.49$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed Luis Guto Miguel | 55c | 55.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 181 | 58.6%106 W · 75 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Luis Guto Miguel | 76c | 49.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Luis Guto Miguel | 73c | 49.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 676 | 78.7%532 W · 144 L | +49.5wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 25c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…ba42backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Luis Guto Miguel | 46c | 36.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc09…f937backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 54c | 31.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Luis Guto Miguel | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 51c | 28.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…3f90backed Luis Guto Miguel | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 54c | 25.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Luis Guto Miguel | 51c | 25.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Luis Guto Miguel | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 351 | 87.7%308 W · 43 L | +66.4wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Luis Guto Miguel | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Luis Guto Miguel | 60c | 17.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.