MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff1c3bbcb43edc4e3d910c7c2eb3cd3f9bd03c94407d9f0f938448ecc8f36f89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof San Diego Padres, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $247,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $254,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 41,303$27,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,847.94 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 36,000$16,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,200 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 32,609$14,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,021.74 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 30,478$16,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,714.9 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked San Diego Padres | 5c | 19,039$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 12,610$7,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,296.34 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 11,787$6,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,539.74 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 11,404$6,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,789.63 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 8,641$3,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,888.5 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked San Diego Padres | 24c | 7,295$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.67 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 6,437$4,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,334.71 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 5,180$2,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.33 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 5,001$2,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.05 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres | 20c | 2,736$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.64 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 2,728$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.34 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 76c | 2,704$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.33 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 2,569$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.87 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres | 11c | 2,527$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.67 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed San Diego Padres | 39c | 2,505$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.84 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 2,224$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.98 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.99 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 1,900$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 1,731$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.29 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Diego Padres | 27c | 1,676$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.64 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 1,465$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.93 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 1,429$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.83 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 1,359$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.14 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 1,274$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.49 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 1,136$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.71 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed San Diego Padres | 18c | 1,129$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.75 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 1,087$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.25 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 1,030$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.05 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 891$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.1 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed San Diego Padres | 15c | 889.81$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.96 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…8aa0backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 860$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.89 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 766.32$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.72 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked San Diego Padres | 22c | 742.74$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.83 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked San Diego Padres | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed San Diego Padres | 20c | 712.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.22 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…d25fbacked San Diego Padres | 20c | 700$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed San Diego Padres | 29c | 699.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed San Diego Padres | 19c | 658.45$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.24 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed San Diego Padres | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 557.53$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.44 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed San Diego Padres | 18c | 529.31$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.75 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 76c | 522.67$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.08 | 332 | 74.1%246 W · 86 L | +28.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked San Diego Padres | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 499.9$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.96 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed San Diego Padres | 36c | 496.54$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.63 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked San Diego Padres | 6c | 496.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 479.99$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.54 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…2096backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 461.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 421.27$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.2 | 202 | 58.4%118 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 75c | 421.17$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.47 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed San Diego Padres | 22c | 386.45$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.27 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed San Diego Padres | 13c | 382$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 372$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.68 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres | 39c | 371.93$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.9 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff21…391fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 368$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.56 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed San Diego Padres | 8c | 323.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 320$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 73c | 315.85$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.73 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3824backed San Diego Padres | 33c | 312.36$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.08 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 311$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.84 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 299.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 297.38$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.46 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed San Diego Padres | 8c | 278.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 269.38$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.22 | 197 | 52.3%103 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae1…aad2backed San Diego Padres | 6c | 260.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 247.54$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.69 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked San Diego Padres | 23c | 235.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 228.05$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.34 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ad…a5cabacked San Diego Padres | 34c | 218.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 217.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked San Diego Padres | 30c | 203.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…17cebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 200.51$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4490…fe8bbacked San Diego Padres | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1449…c94dbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 198.33$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 190$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.77 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked San Diego Padres | 21c | 186.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked San Diego Padres | 17c | 181.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d0…842dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 177.8$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…d16cbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 175.85$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked San Diego Padres | 42c | 175.19$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.34 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…10fabacked San Diego Padres | 36c | 171.25$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.55 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 160$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 160$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewersthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 11.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.