La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x106e2038faf5c5a127e9ed80c826108710a372a498aa3b5b494ad41c3893023b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 6,776$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.7 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 49c | 4,111$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.09 | 622 | 58%361 W · 261 L | +44.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Yes | 51c | 4,100$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Yes | 61c | 4,032$2,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,471.78 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked No | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.99 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 2,163$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.27 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…2c33backed No | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 60c | 1,045$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.27 | 1,186 | 51.7%613 W · 573 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 62c | 444.74$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 35c | 235.57$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.97 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 35c | 183.31$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.05 | 700 | 50.6%354 W · 346 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…a012backed Yes | 22c | 158.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 38c | 146$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.52 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…8525backed Yes | 60c | 119.05$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.43 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 60c | 115$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 41c | 110.01$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.84 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 39c | 100.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.95 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.49 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 13c | 99.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.31 | 849 | 39.7%337 W · 512 L | -21.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 17c | 88.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 41c | 65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Yes | 61c | 59.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 21c | 55.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 99 | 31.3%31 W · 68 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…daa0backed No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 39.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 29c | 38.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 40c | 37.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…a1bfbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 266 | 45.5%121 W · 145 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…c2d0backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +33%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 56c | 29.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 63c | 29.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed No | 37c | 29.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed No | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 45 | 82.2%37 W · 8 L | +10.0wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 79c | 26.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 76c | 24.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 59c | 20.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 610 | 32.3%197 W · 413 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…3716backed No | 75c | 19.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 61c | 18.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Castellón win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will AD Ceuta FC vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?Yes won
- Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-05-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.