NBA · resolved market
NBA Summer League: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Indiana Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa500ffd3ef918985da29cadb1152caad637ec8bd9676769bc342cc2e9f6f1b45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Timberwolvesof Minnesota Timberwolves, Indiana Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Indiana Pacers | 0c | 10,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Indiana Pacers | 14c | 4,400$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.99 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Indiana Pacers | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Minnesota Timberwolves | 74c | 2,787$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.24 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Indiana Pacers | 22c | 1,869$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.36 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Indiana Pacers | 25c | 1,641$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.25 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Timberwolves | 76c | 661.33$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.71 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Indiana Pacers | 42c | 521.79$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.59 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Indiana Pacers | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 355 | 31.8%113 W · 242 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Minnesota Timberwolves | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.99 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Indiana Pacers | 44c | 394.72$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.68 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Minnesota Timberwolves | 78c | 370.37$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Minnesota Timberwolves | 54c | 239.95$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.83 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Indiana Pacers | 12c | 211.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf990…88bcbacked Indiana Pacers | 43c | 198.24$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.24 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Minnesota Timberwolves | 63c | 147.61$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Indiana Pacers | 51c | 141.19$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Indiana Pacers | 48c | 115.85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.61 | 336 | 32.4%109 W · 227 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Indiana Pacers | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 202 | 37.1%75 W · 127 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Minnesota Timberwolves | 55c | 107.68$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Minnesota Timberwolves | 74c | 100.48$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Minnesota Timberwolves | 78c | 78.75$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Indiana Pacers | 15c | 76.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd3…0e24backed Indiana Pacers | 41c | 73.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Indiana Pacers | 46c | 67.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Minnesota Timberwolves | 72c | 58.16$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Indiana Pacers | 45c | 55.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Minnesota Timberwolves | 70c | 54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 251 | 46.2%116 W · 135 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41c4…f4ffbacked Minnesota Timberwolves | 55c | 51.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Indiana Pacers | 52c | 51.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +19.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Indiana Pacers | 24c | 49.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Minnesota Timberwolves | 72c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Minnesota Timberwolves | 77c | 36.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Indiana Pacers | 45c | 35.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 367 | 49.6%182 W · 185 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Minnesota Timberwolves | 54c | 35.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Minnesota Timberwolves | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c7…2ca3backed Minnesota Timberwolves | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…3658backed Minnesota Timberwolves | 48c | 32.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Minnesota Timberwolves | 56c | 31.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Minnesota Timberwolves | 56c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Minnesota Timberwolves | 56c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Minnesota Timberwolves | 54c | 27.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Minnesota Timberwolves | 80c | 24.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Minnesota Timberwolves | 80c | 13.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.79 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.