Tennis · resolved market
Andrey Rublev vs. Alejandro Tabilo: Total Sets O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21d953fb03a4d5d1dc4844ce506cd10de8b70799c9665c066ba16e5886e49eaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Over 2.5of Over 2.5, Under 2.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75a4…3d29backed Over 2.5 | 45c | 363.04$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Over 2.5 | 40c | 217.73$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.64 | 603 | 42%253 W · 350 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under 2.5 | 24c | 198.84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Under 2.5 | 57c | 182.67$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.74 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under 2.5 | 60c | 162.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over 2.5 | 48c | 162.34$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.55 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…a986backed Over 2.5 | 38c | 140$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 109 | 65.1%71 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6e…1256backed Over 2.5 | 41c | 119.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.73 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Over 2.5 | 66c | 117.34$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under 2.5 | 55c | 115.53$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under 2.5 | 57c | 103.12$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under 2.5 | 51c | 102.4$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under 2.5 | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x536d…07fdbacked Under 2.5 | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under 2.5 | 52c | 96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under 2.5 | 47c | 94.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under 2.5 | 56c | 84.09$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe011…159fbacked Over 2.5 | 44c | 84.09$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.09 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under 2.5 | 60c | 63.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e48…a7bcbacked Over 2.5 | 45c | 52.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb3…cbafbacked Over 2.5 | 45c | 51.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over 2.5 | 27c | 51.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Under 2.5 | 39c | 50.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Under 2.5 | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 398 | 44.2%176 W · 222 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…950dbacked Over 2.5 | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under 2.5 | 59c | 38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Under 2.5 | 51c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…3658backed Over 2.5 | 63c | 28.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…e2abbacked Under 2.5 | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over 2.5 | 64c | 18.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 441 | 38.8%171 W · 270 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Andrey Rublev vs. Alejandro Tabilo: Total Sets O/U 2.5this page
- Rublev vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Rublev vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Rublev vs TabiloRublev won
- Set 2 Winner: Rublev vs TabiloTabilo won
- Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Tabilo (+1.5)Tabilo won
- Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro TabiloAndrey Rublev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.