Tennis · resolved market
Rublev vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 22.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x646a06329ad84adb762df32308c35910386400dab5927d676cec800f2e1652a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 1,578$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.3 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Over | 51c | 460.29$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.94 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Over | 79c | 339.47$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.42 | 263 | 55.1%145 W · 118 L | +36.9wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 49c | 320$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 34c | 266.79$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.25 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 51c | 218.51$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.88 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Over | 54c | 183.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.79 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Over | 51c | 180.9$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Over | 56c | 155.07$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.43 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 55c | 136.87$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.59 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 15c | 136.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 55c | 99.65$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 508 | 45.9%233 W · 275 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 48c | 90.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.15 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under | 44c | 89.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 49c | 71.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 47c | 59.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 52c | 56.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Over | 51c | 52.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb3…cbafbacked Under | 56c | 51.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Over | 54c | 51.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 300 | 55%165 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d3…cae1backed Over | 56c | 44.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x741d…cad7backed Over | 56c | 44.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 54c | 40.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Under | 49c | 38.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…bdb8backed Over | 79c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 152 | 63.8%97 W · 55 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75eb…bb2cbacked Over | 53c | 37.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…b515backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac2…4fd8backed Over | 51c | 28.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Over | 51c | 28.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41cf…8268backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 52c | 22.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Over | 51c | 20.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc09d…d110backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…4f34backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4043…b616backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rublev vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 22.5this page
- Andrey Rublev vs. Alejandro Tabilo: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Rublev vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Rublev vs TabiloRublev won
- Set 2 Winner: Rublev vs TabiloTabilo won
- Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Tabilo (+1.5)Tabilo won
- Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro TabiloAndrey Rublev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.